Holiday season is officially here. And with that comes holiday parties. Sweet treats, eggnog, fancy attire and of course that one guy or gal that shows up three-sheets to the wind and begins owning the room with loud talk. All eyes turn to that person and others start to wonder, “What will happen next?” Before you know it, the tipsy talker turns the room topsy-turvy with unleashed dance moves that leave a trail of broken lamps, knocked over wine glasses, and people jumping out of the way.
The scenario above is eerily similar to what happens when the stock market is just cruising along like a quiet holiday party – easy, predictable, fun – and then an “event” occurs – oil-price breakdown, Chinese economic downturn, interest-rate hike –the market is suddenly dancing wildly, solid indicators are getting knocked over, and investors are getting out of the way of the wayward drunk.