Sell in May and Go Away?

May 10th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Sell in May and go away

If there is anything to recall relative to the current top-heavy market it would be this: what goes up must come done. And this brings us to “Sell in May and go away,” a ritualistic saying that may or may not is good advice. It truly depends on the market.

Market Trends

The market does not behave on ritual. It is cyclical, pattern-driven and historically bent. But it is not ritualistic. Does this mean traders should not follow the annual advice about “sell in May and go away?” The reality is that the market can, has, and will act differently each and every May. The wins (or losses) a trader encountered will determine whether he or she should sell or buy in May. After all, every portfolio is different. There isn’t a one-size-fits-all strategy. It’s all about doing what’s best to suit each trading style.

The Reality

However, the reality of today’s market suggests traders seriously consider selling this May, or soon thereafter, but not going away entirely. Think about divesting to build up a bank for the correction that is surely coming.  Remember Newtonian physics – what goes up must come down. Be aware, the market has been defying Newton for some time now and the apple is hanging precariously on its branch. But gravity will surely take over eventually.

By any measure, the market is overpriced. For example, the Schiller P/E ratio shows a market almost 10 points higher than the historical mean (25.35 now vs. 15.65 historical). There are more metrics, and here are 20 of them according to Bank of America.

Metrics aside, the biggest reason a trader should prepare for stepping away in May, or soon thereafter, is there is no rational for the big climb since November. The hope that the current political administration and Congress might produce tax reform and remove the regulations that keep the greed of big banks in check is not a solid platform upon which the current lofty market stature can stand. So far we have seen how well this dynamic duo has performed.

What now?

The point is this– the market will correct. It always has and it always will. Maybe not this May, but soon enough given the historical patterns of money movement in the summer. Having suggested this, it does not mean traders simply disappear.

Rather, do this instead:

  1. Keep a watchful eye and be prepared to get out when the correction arrives.
  2. Be patient. As with all corrections, they do not happen overnight.
  3. Use the right tools to track individual markets for short-term movement within the ups and downs of the correction. Find those trend resistors.

By modifying the strategy to adapt to the changing market conditions (whatever they may be and whenever they may happen), traders don’t have to “Sell in May and Go Away.” Instead, they can put themselves in a position to find profitable positions in any given season (and market condition).

The VantagePoint Difference

Smart traders find ways to make money. And all traders want to be smart, right? A tool that can help the timing and give accurate forecasts 1-3 days in advance will be crucial to every trader’s timing strategy. VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software provides that forecast with up to 86% accuracy.

Take a look at Nokia ($NOK).  Using the power of Artifical Intelligence and Intermarket Analysis, VantagePoint predicted a bullish trend starting in late April. In the 13 trading days since predicting the trend, the stock has rallied 18.73%. At a very affordable $5.25 share price, traders could have invested a small amount to yield large gains.

Nokia Stock Chart

5,000 shares x .95 =  $4,750 in profit!

Had a trader followed the “Sell in May and go away” logic they would have missed this short trend to make a very easy profit.

Despite volatile market conditions, there is always an opportunity to make money with the right tools and understanding. A blind strategy is a poor strategy. Don’t let this be you. Use VantagePoint to your advantage and find those trend-changing trades that can keep you successfully trading while others have simply gone away in May.

What goes up will always come down. Do you have the right tools to handle a market correction? 

Get ahead of trends despite any market condition with VantagePoint Trading Software. Sign up today for your FREE demo to see how you can predict market trends 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy.

Request a demo of VantagePoint

Tell Us What You Think

Using Artificial Intelligence Trading Software

May 2nd, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

AI Blog Image

Are you ready for a self-driving car?
Did you ask Google, Siri or Amazon Alexa for anything today?
Was your last trade a winner?
Or did you lose?

These questions point to a reality in today’s world. Artificial intelligence (AI) is here to stay. You are up against it in the trading world if you are not using it to your advantage.

Success is all about increasing the odds of picking a good trade. It is about winning more and losing less. One way to increase the odds in a fluctuating market is to use trading software that relies on the power of Artificial Intelligence.

How Does Artificial Intelligence Work?

AI is based on the idea of intelligent agents. Intelligent agents are devices that gather data and take actions to maximize its chance of success to achieve a goal. AI does this through learning and solving related problems that might hinder achieving the goal.

Simply put, Artificial Intelligence is about collecting and crunching massive amounts of data for learning, reasoning and perception. It performs the work that humans cannot.

Trading Success with Artificial Intelligence

Traders need a tool that does the heavy lifting for them. There are many ways to trade. Trend following, mean reversion, technical, analysis, fundamental analysis, etc. However, the problem always remains the same. Which way is the market headed?

Our global markets are interconnected and complex. How do traders analyze multiple markets influencing each other to the degree needed to accurately forecast market trends?

The answer: Use AI-based trading software.

Capabilities of Artificial Intelligence with VantagePoint

VantagePoint Trading Software utilizes AI to learn about markets through intermarket analysis, defines movement patterns in those markets and then predicts where that market is headed 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy. VantagePoint and its AI component maximize your chances of trading success. The software crunches massive amounts of data to achieve a highly probable outcome.

Let’s look at Wyndham Worldwide ($WYN). With the power of Artificial Intelligence and Intermarket Analysis, Vantagepoint forecasted an uptrend in mid March. By the end of April, the stock had risen over 19%. Using VantagePoint to spot this early trend, traders were able to get in sooner and make a hefty profit with very little work.

Wyndham Stock Chart

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ultimately, the evolutionary maxim – adapt or perish – defines the reality in today’s trading world. Traders who are not using Artificial Intelligence software to their benefit when trading are not competitive.

Are you ready to learn how Artificial Intelligence can improve your trading strategy?

Sign up today to receive a FREE demonstration of VantagePoint. See how we use our Artificial Intelligence software to sift through massive quantities of financial data, uncover the hidden patterns of movement and use that information to accurately and consistently predict market trend changes in advance.Artificial Intelligence

Tell Us What You Think

2017: Another Year of Buying Dips and Selling Rips

January 20th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Buying Dips with VP

This year promises to be, well, a bit wild. Volatility can be expected not just here in the U.S. market, but all over the globe. So when it comes to picking an investing strategy for 2017 “buying dips and selling rips” could prove to be a profitable one.

Already we’ve seen the pound fall, equities slide and gold climbing on concerns U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May is prepared to lead Britain out of the European Union’s single market and act as a guide for other countries that could break from the bloc. At least that’s what President-elect Donald Trump suggests as a possible outcome. Continue reading 2017: Another Year of Buying Dips and Selling Rips

Tell Us What You Think

Five Trading Questions Every Trader Asks (and how we’d answer them)

January 12th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Trading Questions

As we ring in another new year it’s important to keep in mind that nothing changes as much as it remains the same. For example, political power has changed, but the themes remain. Republicans will continue to attack the usual topics including the Dodd-Frank regulations that curtail the healthy financial industry. Democrats will continue to attempt to outmaneuver Republicans in an attempt to stop them.

The turbulence from the political battle will no doubt affect the market (another yearly constant) and cause angst for everyone involved. But, more likely than not, the five trading questions we’ve listed below is what’s really going to keep Joe Q. Trader awake at night in 2017. These trite realities will wreak more havoc on you than politics will on the market. At least it will if you don’t learn one simple thing – you can do nothing about the external realities affecting the market. But, you can do much about the internal forces keeping you awake at night. Nothing changes as much as it remains the same. So without further ado, here are five trading questions traders commonly ask and useful mottos to remember when facing your most common trading angst.

5 Common Trading Questions

Did I make the right trade?

Second guessing your trade is useless. If you researched with forecasts that highlight trend changes and set the trade up properly, you have a high-probability trade with a well-defined in and out based on a reasonable profit/loss. Let it ride. Motto: The trade is made, move on.

How could I have been wrong?

Trades go south. Figuring out what went wrong is important. Beating yourself up over it after the fact is not. Learn from those mistakes and protect yourself with the proper tools. VantagePoint provides a clear crossover on its charts indicating trend changes that can be used to improve your timing on entries and exits.  Motto: The trade was made, move on.

Check out this video to see how VantagePoint identifies trend reversals before traditional traders even know what’s going on.

Why did I lose money?

Again, trades go south, which usually means a money loss. But, this is an integral and necessary part of the game. No one wins all the time. The trick is winning more than you lose. See your losses as learning opportunities, nothing more. Utilizing tools like VantagePoint’s Intelliscan will help find trades that are in a better position to move in a given direction. It can also help you identify markets with high volatility that you can avoid until the market becomes more favorable. The goal is to improve your win/loss ratio, not worry about your past losses. Motto: “Fogetta boud it …”

What will the market do tomorrow?

Truthfully, more pundits/analysts get this wrong than right. The market is the collective conscious of millions of humans, so consistently predicting with accuracy the daily behavior is unlikely. VantagePoint’s patented neural networks analyze intermarket relationships and predict market movements with up to 86% accuracy. Utilizing technology will help you sleep at night because it doesn’t have to. Motto: Technology is your friends, let it help you.

Should I even be trading?

For many beginner traders, this question will cause the most sleepless nights. Second guessing your trades, beating yourself up after a poor decision, fretting over losing trades, and betting on what others think the market will do tomorrow will all lead you here. Master the answers to trading questions 1-4 and you are less likely to end up contemplating this question. Something to also keep in mind; trading, like any other skill, takes time to learn. Stay calm and learn from your losses. Utilize the tools available to maximize your potential. Do these things and the answer to question five will more than likely be yes. Motto: Do it right, sleep at night.

Trade confidently with the help of VantagePoint

Don’t leave yourself unprotected and answering these trading questions on your own. Sign up today to receive a free market forecast from VantagePoint and see how VantagePoint can help make 2017 your most profitable year yet!

Request a demo of VantagePoint

Tell Us What You Think

JACK OF ALL TRADES: Why Successful Traders Trade Everything

November 16th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Jack of all trades

We all have that relative, we’ll call him Uncle Joe, that claims he “made a killing” trading FANG stocks early in the year. Meanwhile, the talking heads on financial TV programs say all the “smart money” has been doubling down on the banking sector for its next big run up in the 3rd quarter with no mention of the FANG stocks. Successful traders, however, know that when it comes to identifying specific sectors or stocks that can yield a quick, profitable return, it can be difficult to know what direction to go.

The reality is that these specific “can’t miss” strategies are not only limiting but often ill-fated. If you want to be a successful trader, aim to become a “Jack of All Trades” instead of a master who focuses on one.

This is because the majority of Wall Street, like the guy that gave the tip to Uncle Joe, have their own agendas. They are hyping a specific stock or sector for their own gains. Research shows the so-called “gurus” don’t fare much better than the individual investor. The CXO Advisory Group has a section on their website titled Guru Grades. They go through years of data they have compiled to tabulate how many times each guru “got it right” on their forecasts. With dozens of gurus on their site, their accuracy ranges from 68% to 20% over a multi-year period.

While no one is expected to be right all the time, it leaves us to wonder how “guru” status is achieved when one’s accuracy shows a failure rating of more than 50%.

The lesson we should take from this is that it’s not about what you trade, but how you trade. If you feel compelled to find the next “vehicle” for your success, here’s a better idea: Find the success first and then trade any vehicle. Traders tend to spend too much time focusing on what’s hot. However, it isn’t the vehicle or the potential that is going to make you successful. Success comes from having the right technical tools and applying that knowledge to the markets.

Instead of listening to someone with a 65% failure rating, how about using a tool that can forecast trends across a variety of markets with up to 86% accuracy?

VantagePoint Trading Software utilizes artificial intelligence to create high-probability forecasts of market trend direction. This helps traders anticipate changes in price direction, rather than identifying trends after the fact, and gives traders confidence to find profitable opportunities in any market, no matter if they are trading stocks, futures, ETFs of Forex.

Sound technical tools should work largely the same in any market. As a trader, just because you aren’t familiar with a particular stock or market, doesn’t mean you should miss out on an opportunity to profit. But how does a trader find new opportunities if they are used to only trading one asset class?

In addition to helping traders be on the right side of trends, VantagePoint’s trading technology it can help find profitable opportunities in other markets. The IntelliScan® feature in VantagePoint can identify potential trades using criteria chosen from more than 70 filters. It then combines the data with its predictive indicators to identify trend direction, trend strength, market momentum, potential trend changes, along with next day highs and lows and possible points for trade entry and exit.

So stop using Uncle Joe as your source for identifying hot new trends, stop relying on talking heads who are right as often as they are wrong, and start utilizing a tool that has a proven record of making the right call across hundreds of markets and become a jack of all trading.

To learn more about how to use VantagePoint and see firsthand how our patented, predictive forecasts can help you be successful in any market, request a free demo.

Tell Us What You Think

Pokémon or Profits: Technology is a Game Changer

July 15th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Pokemon or Profits

“Pokémon Go” debuted last week and already millions of people have downloaded the app. The game has teens and adults staring at their phones, using technology to chase virtual monsters through parks, streets, and even off cliffs. Nintendo’s ($NTDOY) stock price has nearly doubled. This adds roughly $7.5 billion to the market cap of a game-maker that had previously lagged in mobile gaming. While the concept of augmented reality is nothing new, this is the first commercial breakthrough. 

Nintendo Stock

Technology has forever changed many industries from retail and automotive, banking and financial services. Being ahead of the curve and applying new technologies that improve current products, processes or experiences is what allows companies to flourish in today’s fast-paced, interconnected world.

Over 37 years ago, stocks trader and technical analysis guru, Louis Mendelsohn, identified an opportunity to take trading software to the next level. By applying an Artificial Intelligence system that analyzes global market relationships and transforms traditional lagging indicators into predictive, market leading indicators, in 1991 VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software became the first trading software that could forecast market direction and strength with up to 86% accuracy. To date, over 15,000 traders have utilized this cutting-edge technology to gain an edge on the stock market. And while it won’t help you catch a Pikachu, it will help you catch major profits.

Forecasting Technology in Action

VantagePoint Technology - DR. Horton Stock

VantagePoint forecasted a move to the upside (indicated by the blue line crossing over the black line) in D.R. Horton ($DHI). This stock rose 8.01% in the last 9 trading days. This equates to $2.52 profit per share.

VantagePoint Technology - E-mini DIJA
VantagePoint forecasted a move to the upside (indicated by the blue line crossing over the black line) in the E-mini DIJA D.R. Horton ($DHI). This market moved up $3190 per contract.
VantagePoint Technology - USD/JPY
VantagePoint forecasted a move to the upside (indicated by the blue line crossing over the black line) for USD/JPY. This market went up 257 pips, equating to $2550 per standard lot.

The similarities between VantagePoint Software and “Pokémon Go” extend well beyond the technology. Unlike conventional computer and console games that demand a player’s full attention, “Pokémon Go” can be consumed in bite-size increments throughout the day. This mimics a pattern that already matches most people’s phone usage habits.

Recognizing that most people don’t have all day to spend on their investments, VantagePoint was also built to be a time-saving tool. By requiring just a few minutes each day, the software fits well with the busy lifestyles of traders.

Instead of just augmented reality, how about augmenting your income?

Don’t let this one get away. Request a free one-on-one demonstration today and see for yourself how this trading software is a complete GAME CHANGER.

Request a demo of VantagePoint

Tell Us What You Think

Become a Better Trader in 10 Minutes

June 24th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

If you think you’re too busy to find profitable trades, then ask yourself if you have 600 seconds. Because if you’re ready to become a better trader, that’s all it really takes.

becoming a better trader

That’s right, in ten minutes or less, you can drastically improve your odds of trading success.

With the help of VantagePoint Trading Software, traders can invest 10 minutes per day to maximize their success in the markets. While the program may be using literal rocket science behind the scenes (see: artificial intelligence), the execution is actually quite simple. Because the more complex a trading system is, generally speaking, the more confusing it is to understand.

Below, we outline the 3 simple steps to utilizing VantagePoint’s Artificial Intelligence software to become a better trader.

Step 1: Build a Portfolio of Stocks

The financial sector took a beating in early 2016. Market volatility was high, low oil prices hurt banks with exposure to energy loans and the political race stirred the idea of Wall Street regulation. After finally rallying back from the early 2016 lows, the surprise Brexit “yes” vote sent things spiraling again.

Of course, not all financial stocks will rally (or fall) at the same pace or at the same time so it’s important to look at different markets at different times and trade where there is an opportunity.

Maybe you have a thing for healthcare stocks. Or perhaps you only like to take long positions in tech stocks. Maybe you want to see what’s happening in the Futures markets? (hint – not a good day for that!)

VantagePoint forecasts for over 2000 stocks in 5 different countries, 67 futures markets, various ETFs and over 10 different Forex pairs. Creating different trading portfolios for different sectors and different trading styles is key and can reduce the time required for daily market analysis. Save as many portfolios as you’d like, name them as you please. When you’re ready to analyze your portfolios move to step 2.

better trader portfolio

Step 2: Scan your Portfolios for the Best Trading Opportunities

So you have decided you are bullish on the financial sector and want to take a long trade in a stock that has strong upside potential. It can be done in seconds. Using the IntelliScan® you can quickly identify advantageous trading conditions in charts or reports that are open in a portfolio.

IntelliScan® indicators can help you quickly narrow your focus to only those markets that meet your specific criteria. In this example, VantagePoint scanned 110 stocks and found four that are good candidates for a long trade by filtering for recent crossovers to the upside in the short, medium and long-term trend. The additional filters can be added that provide extra confirmation that these four stocks are likely to head higher in the next few days.

better trader Intelliscan

Step 3: Use the Charts to Confirm the Trade

Now that you’ve found potential long trades in the financial sector, it’s time to analyze your charts. Unlike traditional market lagging indicators, VantagePoint’s Predicted Moving Average doesn’t simply look at past price data, it forecasts 1-3 days in advance, alerting you to impending trend changes before they occur.

As you can see below, when the blue line crosses above or below the black line, a trend reversal is about to take place. Once the reversal occurs, the trend is likely to continue until the next predictive crossover takes place. With this “jump” on the markets, traders see a huge improvement in their timing and direction, ultimately leading to more profitable results.

better trader Intelliscan

Another powerful forecasting tool within VantagePoint is the Predicted Neural Index. This green oscillator forecasts the short-term strength or weakness of a trend. When the Neural Index has a value of 1 the market will likely move higher over the next two days. When it is at a 0 the market will likely move lower over that time period. VantagePoint’s Predicted Neural Index can be used in conjunction with its Predicted Moving Average crossovers to give you additional confirmation, which will give you more confidence to enter or exit a trade at the onset of a trend reversal – often days before other traders even figure out what’s going on.

better trader confirming trades

Not a bad use of 10 minutes, huh?

Sort, filter, analyze, confidently take positions and then move on to the rest of your day. Becoming a better trader is as simple as that. VantagePoint Software Forecast

Tell Us What You Think

Why Traders Shouldn’t ‘Sell in May and Go Away’

May 26th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Don't Sell in May and Go Away
Veteran traders have heard it before. Sell in May and Go Away. The idea behind the catchy strategy is warning traders of increased volatility and lower trading volume during summer months.

Some would argue this summer is the proverbial poster child for this strategy. An uncertain and highly divisive U.S. political landscape, a likely rise in interest rates this June and international turmoil such as the Brexit are just the tip of the iceberg. It’s no wonder long-side traders are thinking of pulling money from the market and sticking it in their mattresses.

But, the fact is that even the most bullish bulls can make money from the long side during the summer months. A blind strategy is a poor strategy unless you’re trying to leave money on the table.

If not ‘Sell in May and Go Away’ then what?

The quick answer is that there’s always an opportunity to make money with the right tools and understanding.

On the economic front, there are bright spots that could drive the market higher. The U.S. economy is stronger than the breathless media contends despite their efforts to suggest an apocalyptic recession is on the horizon. New U.S. single-family home sales surged to an eight-year high in April and home prices hit a record high. The usually strong spring housing market could even be stronger if only there were more homes for sale.

While all this positive economic news is great, it doesn’t mean that traders should blindly buy the SPY or other long market ETFs this summer for the sheer fun of it. Understanding which opportunities are strong stocks that have an established upward trend is the other half of this equation. Utilizing the proper tools and strategies to navigate expected summer market volatility will be how traders can use this positive news to create personal financial gains.

Instead of taking the “Sell in May and Go Away” approach, you may want to capture stocks that are in a short-term uptrend. As more of a swing trader, traders will typically hold a position for a few days up to a couple of weeks. Summer is no time to force your desires on the market. If the market tells you to get out, then do it. Light volume can exacerbate moves. Your timing will be more important than ever

Having a tool that can help your timing and give you an accurate forecast 1-3 days in advance will be crucial to your timing strategy. VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software provides that forecast with up to 86% accuracy.

The proprietary and patented market-leading forecasts put bulls ahead of the rally to get you in an upward trending stock before most other traders know what’s happening. How is this possible? By utilizing artificial intelligence to identify intermarket relationships and analyze the strongest drivers and pullers for a particular market.

By using the right tools, and modifying your strategy to adapt to the market conditions, you don’t have to “Sell in May and Go Away.” Instead, you can put yourself in a position to find profitable positions in any given season. Smart traders find ways to make money. And we all want to be smarter traders don’t we?

VantagePoint Forecasting in Action

We’ve captured a few examples of growth in the below video to demonstrate how bullish trends do happen in May. You just have to know where to find them, and when to do something about them.

In this video we review the following recent moves:

  • L3 Communications ($LLL) which increased 26.69% ($21.41 per share) over 49 trading days.
  • Boston Scientific ($BSX) which increased 31.82% ($5.67 per share) over 70 trading days.
  • Integrated Device Technology ($IDTI) which increased 11.11% ($2.28 per share) over 16 trading days.
  • Sanmina Corporation ($SANM) which increased 17.62% ($3.91 per share) over 22 trading days.

 

To learn more about how to use VantagePoint and see firsthand how our patented, predictive forecasts can help you, request a free demo.

VPfreedemo

Tell Us What You Think

Infographic – Grading Common Trading Strategies and Tools

April 28th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Trading Infographic

It’s report card time! After the NFL Draft, the annual exercise of pundits immediately distributing grades takes place to express their “expert” opinion on which teams maximized their value and filled their roster holes.

While most (okay, probably all) of you don’t own an NFL team, you ARE a trader looking to increase your profitability in the markets. Well, you’re in luck. The following infographic grades different tools, trading strategies, and systems to help you take your trading to the “Big Game.”

The Grades – Common Trading Strategies and Tools

Trading Strategies

VantagePoint Software Demo

Tell Us What You Think

VantagePoint Finds Cinderella Stocks You Can Profit From

March 29th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

It’s that time of year again when the office comes together and collectively wonders how Janice from Accounting is once again leading this year’s NCAA March Madness office pool. Whether your bracket has been busted or not, everyone loves the Cinderella stories that capture everyone’s attention.

Cinderella Stocks

According to a recent Forbes article, roughly $9 billion was wagered on last year’s tournament and an estimated $1.9 billion was lost in reduced workplace productivity. Meanwhile, MarketWatch reports that studies show stocks can produce below-average returns during popular tournaments like the college basketball championship.

While anyone can enjoy seeing an upset in the first round, most traders don’t like seeing their investment portfolio being forced to rebound from a down month. That’s where VantagePoint comes in.

Thanks to the predictive indicators, VantagePoint helps traders find those “Cinderella stocks” that often times go unnoticed even though they’re out-performing their industry.

Check out a few stocks that we’ve highlighted in this video and let us know if you’ve got a few Cinderella stocks of your own.

VantagePoint Software Demo

Tell Us What You Think