Sell in May and Go Away?

May 10th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Sell in May and go away

If there is anything to recall relative to the current top-heavy market it would be this: what goes up must come done. And this brings us to “Sell in May and go away,” a ritualistic saying that may or may not is good advice. It truly depends on the market.

Market Trends

The market does not behave on ritual. It is cyclical, pattern-driven and historically bent. But it is not ritualistic. Does this mean traders should not follow the annual advice about “sell in May and go away?” The reality is that the market can, has, and will act differently each and every May. The wins (or losses) a trader encountered will determine whether he or she should sell or buy in May. After all, every portfolio is different. There isn’t a one-size-fits-all strategy. It’s all about doing what’s best to suit each trading style.

The Reality

However, the reality of today’s market suggests traders seriously consider selling this May, or soon thereafter, but not going away entirely. Think about divesting to build up a bank for the correction that is surely coming.  Remember Newtonian physics – what goes up must come down. Be aware, the market has been defying Newton for some time now and the apple is hanging precariously on its branch. But gravity will surely take over eventually.

By any measure, the market is overpriced. For example, the Schiller P/E ratio shows a market almost 10 points higher than the historical mean (25.35 now vs. 15.65 historical). There are more metrics, and here are 20 of them according to Bank of America.

Metrics aside, the biggest reason a trader should prepare for stepping away in May, or soon thereafter, is there is no rational for the big climb since November. The hope that the current political administration and Congress might produce tax reform and remove the regulations that keep the greed of big banks in check is not a solid platform upon which the current lofty market stature can stand. So far we have seen how well this dynamic duo has performed.

What now?

The point is this– the market will correct. It always has and it always will. Maybe not this May, but soon enough given the historical patterns of money movement in the summer. Having suggested this, it does not mean traders simply disappear.

Rather, do this instead:

  1. Keep a watchful eye and be prepared to get out when the correction arrives.
  2. Be patient. As with all corrections, they do not happen overnight.
  3. Use the right tools to track individual markets for short-term movement within the ups and downs of the correction. Find those trend resistors.

By modifying the strategy to adapt to the changing market conditions (whatever they may be and whenever they may happen), traders don’t have to “Sell in May and Go Away.” Instead, they can put themselves in a position to find profitable positions in any given season (and market condition).

The VantagePoint Difference

Smart traders find ways to make money. And all traders want to be smart, right? A tool that can help the timing and give accurate forecasts 1-3 days in advance will be crucial to every trader’s timing strategy. VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software provides that forecast with up to 86% accuracy.

Take a look at Nokia ($NOK).  Using the power of Artifical Intelligence and Intermarket Analysis, VantagePoint predicted a bullish trend starting in late April. In the 13 trading days since predicting the trend, the stock has rallied 18.73%. At a very affordable $5.25 share price, traders could have invested a small amount to yield large gains.

Nokia Stock Chart

5,000 shares x .95 =  $4,750 in profit!

Had a trader followed the “Sell in May and go away” logic they would have missed this short trend to make a very easy profit.

Despite volatile market conditions, there is always an opportunity to make money with the right tools and understanding. A blind strategy is a poor strategy. Don’t let this be you. Use VantagePoint to your advantage and find those trend-changing trades that can keep you successfully trading while others have simply gone away in May.

What goes up will always come down. Do you have the right tools to handle a market correction? 

Get ahead of trends despite any market condition with VantagePoint Trading Software. Sign up today for your FREE demo to see how you can predict market trends 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy.

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Trading Under Trump: Uncertainty clouds financial markets

February 21st, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Trading Under Trump

Earnings, the Fed, the fundamentals, and the President. This is what is facing those trading under Trump. Uncertainty is now the buzz word for traders, and how could it not be? A U.S. president can rattle world markets with the stroke of a pen or a misplaced word. The dollar fell against the yen following President Trump’s executive order attempting to place a 90-day travel ban to the U.S. by citizens of some Middle Eastern countries.

The reality of a U.S. president’s influence on world affairs and markets is not new, of course. But, we seemed to have entered unprecedented times. President Donald Trump’s short time in office has shown how unpredictable he can be compared to his predecessors. That volatility in politics easily transfers to volatility in the markets. Making an already difficult practice even harder for those trading under Trump.

This reality is also not new. As far back as the Great Recession, global markets have struggled through periods of uncertainty. The big question is: how do traders deal with an uncertain Presidential “trump card” hanging over the market?

Normally, one looks at all the factors currently affecting the market to arrive at an understanding. We recently discussed how winning more than losing is all about moving the odds in your favor.

So, in this time and place, we have the unknown in President Trump. We also have knowns in earnings and economic fundamentals. Looking at these two factors, one could assess the market as being in a fairly solid place, right?

The “knowns” are positive

Earnings have provided a very positive outlook recently. As of January 27, with 34% of the companies in the S&P 500 reporting actual results for Q4 2016, 65% of S&P 500 companies have beaten the mean EPS estimate and 52% of S&P 500 companies have beaten the mean sales estimate.

Economic fundamentals are also bullish. The January Dallas Fed manufacturing survey jumped to 22.1, beating the 15.0 expected and marking the highest level since early 2010. December’s report was also revised to 17.7 from 15.5. The report had spent most of the last two years providing negative figures.

The government may trump everything

Despite the reality of decent earnings and decent economic fundamentals, the market might well be trumped by Trump. It’s looking more at the President’s influence over the world, particularly as it relates to the Fed.

Who can forget the Fed? This group has created more uncertainty in the market in the last decade than any other entity. Change is coming, eventually. Fiscal policy, trade policy, and regulatory policies are all on the table and up for review in the Trump administration. In addition, we can’t rule out seeing significant changes for the Federal Reserve and how it conducts monetary policy.

Where does all this lead us? Why right back to the future of the market trying to determine how we turn the odds in our favor with all the uncertainty in play. One choice is to sit it out, watch, and wait. But, four years is a long time.

How traders can balance it all together

So, if trading under Trump is unavoidable, an alternative approach could be to become a smarter trader. Watch specific markets carefully and ask yourself a question – Which individual markets could flourish under President Trump?

Use trading software that can spot similarly trending markets and utilize artificial intelligence to identify trends before they take off. VantagePoint does just this. It utilizes artificial intelligence to forecast market movements 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy.

With an ever-uncertain presidential cloud looming over the markets, the more reliable tools you have in your corner, the better you position yourself to be profitable.

Become a smarter trader with VantagePoint

The best tools make you a better trader. Sign up today to receive a free demonstration of VantagePoint and see how our predictive technology uses artificial intelligence to forecast market movement with up to 86% accuracy.

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‘Tis the Season for Market Volatility

December 19th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Market Volatility Season

Holiday season is officially here. And with that comes holiday parties. Sweet treats, eggnog, fancy attire and of course that one guy or gal that shows up three-sheets to the wind and begins owning the room with loud talk. All eyes turn to that person and others start to wonder, “What will happen next?” Before you know it, the tipsy talker turns the room topsy-turvy with unleashed dance moves that leave a trail of broken lamps, knocked over wine glasses, and people jumping out of the way.

The scenario above is eerily similar to what happens when the stock market is just cruising along like a quiet holiday party – easy, predictable, fun – and then an “event” occurs – oil-price breakdown, Chinese economic downturn, interest-rate hike –the market is suddenly dancing wildly, solid indicators are getting knocked over, and investors are getting out of the way of the wayward drunk.

Hello, volatility.

Continue reading ‘Tis the Season for Market Volatility

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5 Hot Stocks Heating up the Summer Markets

June 17th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Hot Stocks

Summer panic often sets in around the 4th of July. The warm months are ticking away and traders want to maximize the last few months before the holiday season sneaks up on them. Come August, traders don’t want to be spending days in front of their computer trying to pick hot stocks, they want to be outdoors taking advantage of the heat.

While summer markets can be precarious, the current market environment provides favorable conditions for selective stock buyers. Despite all the recent back and forth trading action, over 25% of NYSE stocks hit new 52-week highs in the last two weeks. That’s a pretty impressive bullish indicator to counteract the omnipresent fear of a summer slump and a host of other negative drivers including the “Brexit” vote.
But this massive wave of new highs doesn’t tell you if you should buy into the market right now, let alone which sectors and stocks, in particular, you should buy. That’s something only a uniquely honed trading system like VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software can do.

Fundamentals, seasonality, and most traditional technical analysis can’t compete with VantagePoint’s patented trend forecasting abilities. The proprietary and patented market-leading forecasts put bulls ahead of the rally to get you in an upward trending stock before most other traders know what’s happening.

How is this possible?

By utilizing artificial intelligence to identify intermarket relationships to quantify the impact that outside market drivers have on the stocks you want to trade. That technology has led to a software that can predict market movement with up to 86% accuracy.

Here are 5 hot stocks that have recently started to heat up in a variety of sectors. From a big box retailer (COST) to a resort and entertainment conglomerate (WYNN) to a technology communications company (EGHT), VantagePoint traders would have been able to profit from the big up trending moves in these stocks.  Were you aware of these stocks, and if so did you get into position as soon as VantagePoint users did when they saw the crossover?

Hot Stocks #1 – Costco Wholesale ($COST)

Hot Stock - COST

$COST saw a crossover at the end of May and has remained bullish ever since. The price per share has grown more than $20.

Hot Stocks #2 – 8×8 Inc. ($EGHT)

Hot Stock - EGHT

$EGHT has been bullish for quite some time. After a volatile start to May, this relatively cheap stock has seen it’s price climb from $11.60 to nearly $14 since the last crossover.

Hot Stocks #3 – Stericycle ($SRCL)

Hot Stock-SRCL

Traders without VantagePoint might have been tricked out of their long position when $SRCL showed some consolidation in late May. But without a crossover, VantagePoint users have continued to reap the benefits of a bullish trend nearly 30 days and counting.

Hot Stocks #4 – Taser ($TASR)

Hot Stocks-TASR

A bullish trend that started in early May just ended earlier this week. But not before the stock price rose by more than $4 per share. A recent crossover to the downside looks like it may be nothing more than a hiccup as our patented PMA isn’t gaining any separation from the SMA.

Hot Stocks #5 – Wynn Resorts ($WYNN)

Hot Stocks-WYNN

Long positions have been riding $WYNN since the latter half of May. We do see some consolidation of late, but without a definitive crossover and a strong neural index, traders will be paying close attention to see what VantagePoint says in the coming days.

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5 Must Have Tools for Summer Stock Trading

June 2nd, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Summer Stock Trading Tools

Summer stock trading can be stressful. Volatility is often higher and volume tends to be down. But with just 99 days of summer, traders shouldn’t have to choose between a day in the sun and a profitable trading opportunity. The thing about trading is that with the right tools, you can do it anywhere.

All it takes are a few gadgets traveling traders have come to rely on. We’ve compiled the five resources that will take the stress out of trading and investing and allow traders to focus on the vacation planning.

1. Microsoft Surface Pro 4

Summer Stock Trading - Microsoft Surface Pro 4The power of a laptop, the portability of a tablet. The Surface Pro 4 can run any trading software and keep the markets at your fingertips. With a multi-positional kickstand, keyboard with a touchpad and a Surface Pen stylus already bundled in, you’ll have everything you need to trade in one compact device.  (Prices start at $899)

2. AMPL Smart Bag

Summer Stock Trading - AMPL Smart Bag

Traders always looking for an “insider tip” get one from this bag. The SmartBag has integrated SmartBatteries that will charge tablets, smartphones, laptops and up to 6 other gadgets through built in USB outlets. Now traders won’t have to worry about losing power while trading the markets. ($249-$499)

3. goTenna

Summer Stock Trading - goTennaTraders can eliminate the fear of going off the grid and missing trading opportunities. When there’s no cell coverage or Wi-Fi, you can activate goTenna. The device is less than 6” long and wirelessly pairs to your iOS or Android device via Bluetooth-LE. Stop worrying about placing your stops or scheduling your activities around market availability. Take a hike and trade from the trails! ($199 for a 2-pack)

4. Primula Cold Brew Ice Coffee Maker

Summer Stock Trading - Primula Cold Brew Ice COffee Maker

A good trading day begins with good coffee and in the summer it’s time to switch from hot to cold. This sleek and elegant manual iced coffee maker allows you to cold brew your favorite coffee from a 50-oz. borosilicate glass carafe. Channel the mindset of the Europeans to get in the zone for your Forex Trades. ($29.99)

5. Yubico Security Keys

Summer Stock Trading - Yubico Security Keys

Don’t worry any longer about losing your laptop and leaving your portfolio in peril. These keys ensure that if you accidentally leave your laptop by the pool, no one can access it. This little device plugs into any USB port and restricts access to your computer without it! Put it on your key ring and focus on your trades instead of your belongings. ($18- $50)

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Why Traders Shouldn’t ‘Sell in May and Go Away’

May 26th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Don't Sell in May and Go Away
Veteran traders have heard it before. Sell in May and Go Away. The idea behind the catchy strategy is warning traders of increased volatility and lower trading volume during summer months.

Some would argue this summer is the proverbial poster child for this strategy. An uncertain and highly divisive U.S. political landscape, a likely rise in interest rates this June and international turmoil such as the Brexit are just the tip of the iceberg. It’s no wonder long-side traders are thinking of pulling money from the market and sticking it in their mattresses.

But, the fact is that even the most bullish bulls can make money from the long side during the summer months. A blind strategy is a poor strategy unless you’re trying to leave money on the table.

If not ‘Sell in May and Go Away’ then what?

The quick answer is that there’s always an opportunity to make money with the right tools and understanding.

On the economic front, there are bright spots that could drive the market higher. The U.S. economy is stronger than the breathless media contends despite their efforts to suggest an apocalyptic recession is on the horizon. New U.S. single-family home sales surged to an eight-year high in April and home prices hit a record high. The usually strong spring housing market could even be stronger if only there were more homes for sale.

While all this positive economic news is great, it doesn’t mean that traders should blindly buy the SPY or other long market ETFs this summer for the sheer fun of it. Understanding which opportunities are strong stocks that have an established upward trend is the other half of this equation. Utilizing the proper tools and strategies to navigate expected summer market volatility will be how traders can use this positive news to create personal financial gains.

Instead of taking the “Sell in May and Go Away” approach, you may want to capture stocks that are in a short-term uptrend. As more of a swing trader, traders will typically hold a position for a few days up to a couple of weeks. Summer is no time to force your desires on the market. If the market tells you to get out, then do it. Light volume can exacerbate moves. Your timing will be more important than ever

Having a tool that can help your timing and give you an accurate forecast 1-3 days in advance will be crucial to your timing strategy. VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software provides that forecast with up to 86% accuracy.

The proprietary and patented market-leading forecasts put bulls ahead of the rally to get you in an upward trending stock before most other traders know what’s happening. How is this possible? By utilizing artificial intelligence to identify intermarket relationships and analyze the strongest drivers and pullers for a particular market.

By using the right tools, and modifying your strategy to adapt to the market conditions, you don’t have to “Sell in May and Go Away.” Instead, you can put yourself in a position to find profitable positions in any given season. Smart traders find ways to make money. And we all want to be smarter traders don’t we?

VantagePoint Forecasting in Action

We’ve captured a few examples of growth in the below video to demonstrate how bullish trends do happen in May. You just have to know where to find them, and when to do something about them.

In this video we review the following recent moves:

  • L3 Communications ($LLL) which increased 26.69% ($21.41 per share) over 49 trading days.
  • Boston Scientific ($BSX) which increased 31.82% ($5.67 per share) over 70 trading days.
  • Integrated Device Technology ($IDTI) which increased 11.11% ($2.28 per share) over 16 trading days.
  • Sanmina Corporation ($SANM) which increased 17.62% ($3.91 per share) over 22 trading days.

 

To learn more about how to use VantagePoint and see firsthand how our patented, predictive forecasts can help you, request a free demo.

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Infographic – Grading Common Trading Strategies and Tools

April 28th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Trading Infographic

It’s report card time! After the NFL Draft, the annual exercise of pundits immediately distributing grades takes place to express their “expert” opinion on which teams maximized their value and filled their roster holes.

While most (okay, probably all) of you don’t own an NFL team, you ARE a trader looking to increase your profitability in the markets. Well, you’re in luck. The following infographic grades different tools, trading strategies, and systems to help you take your trading to the “Big Game.”

The Grades – Common Trading Strategies and Tools

Trading Strategies

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UPDATE: VantagePoint Helps Customer Find 256% Growth with Accurate Forecast

April 21st, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

VantagePoint tracks CDE to a 250% uptrendUPDATE: The day after we  posted this video and blog, $CDE dropped, become a 4 day trend to the downside. 

That is plenty of time for most traders (without VantagePoint) to consider the uptrend over and get out of this position. However, the downtrend would soon show itself to be nothing more than a speedbump on a strong uptrend that grew an additional 20% after the loss.

Traders who use VantagePoint would have been able to see this as nothing more than a short-term loss and stayed in the trade. How would they have known to do that? Check out our updated video to see how VantagePoint’s forecasts saw through this sudden change and presented our users with even more chances to grow their profits. Scroll below the video to read the original post and watch the original video.

As a trader, just because you aren’t familiar with a particular stock or market, doesn’t mean you should miss out on a tremendous opportunity to profit. We received an email from a VantagePoint user explaining that he had made “a boatload of money” on a stock he had never heard of, or traded before.

He went on to explain that the stock showed up on one of VantagePoint’s scans as a potential trading opportunity. Coupled with his reliance on VantagePoint’s up to 86% accuracy, he took advantage of this information and has made a 256% return on his initial investment!

Check out our quick video that walks through exactly what you could have seen on day 1 of this potential trade and how using VantagePoint’s predictive indicators could have given you the confidence to remain in this trade and make a huge return.

This is a perfect example of what VantagePoint does for our customers. It identifies trading opportunities you can get involved with and profit from. That is why so many of our customers have been able to recoup the cost of the software so quickly.

Don’t limit yourself to your familiar and favorite stocks. Look beyond that and let yourself find the opportunities that can help you grow your trading account.

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How to Profit From FANG Stocks

February 3rd, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

FANG

Love him or hate him, Jim Cramer is in your face. Whether he’s screaming at you while you’re drinking your morning coffee watching CNBC or you’re reading his bold proclamations on the TheStreet, Cramer’s impact on how we view and discuss the stock market can’t be discounted. Cramer coined the FANG acronym back in 2014 and it is now rolling off the tongues of all the financial TV talking heads.

In case you’ve missed out, FANG is a snappy acronym for Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX) and Google (GOOG), the quartet of turbocharged technology businesses that have a tremendous impact on the stock market.

While the fab four were major drivers behind the rally in early 2015, the FANG stock’s performance in 2016, along with the rest of the stock market, has been mixed. Valuations can be tricky for these kinds of companies. They are investing tons of money for future growth, so current earnings don’t really paint the whole picture.

Considering this new market paradigm, traders can no longer buy and hold the FANG stocks and hope for double-digit returns. That doesn’t mean there aren’t profitable opportunities from both the long and short sides of the market. Today’s traders who use market forecasting tools like VantagePoint can have confidence getting into trending trades in both directions.

Trading FANG with VantagePoint

FANG stocks netflix

In this NFLX chart, VantagePoint forecasted a downward move when the predicted moving average crossed below the traditional moving average all the way back in mid- December 2015. Many traders were still loving the FANG stocks, especially NFLX at that time, but VantagePoint traders could have potentially been short from $125 all the way down to $85.

Watch the video below to see a full analysis and breakdown of VantagePoint’s forecast for NFLX since early December.

For traders who are uncomfortable with shorting the FANG stocks or have account restrictions, all four stocks have very liquid options contracts with very high open interest and tight bid ask spreads.

If the current market volatility is taking a bite out of your FANG investing profits, you can bite back having VantagePoint’s market forecasting tools for two way trading opportunities.

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Make Money in a Declining Market

January 29th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

It’s one of the most common questions we get. “How can I make money when the market is going down?”

make money

 

 

The truth is simple: there’s no such thing as a bad market. There is, however, bad information and if your current trading strategy is lagging the market, well then it’s going to be very difficult if you don’t see these declines coming.

That being said – our customers are finding plenty of opportunities to make money in these down markets. We share their strategies below.

Here are two ways to make money in a declining market:

Selling Short

Smart traders know that the market is a two-way street and that you can trade from the short side. VantagePoint’s forecasts provide insight 1-3 days in advance. With that information, traders can take a short position and actually make money in a declining market.

However, not every trader is comfortable with this technique. No worries, there’s another way.

Go Long on Inverse ETFs

“For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.”

When a market is declining, there are inverse ETFs that will be going up. VantagePoint makes it easy to scan for opportunities and find these opportunities ahead of time.

Are you feeling anxious in the market? Why not adapt a strategy that has been consistent and accurate at forecasting markets and helping traders make money for over 25 years.

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