The Summer Trading Haze

May 17th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

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To Trade Or Not To Trade

Summer trading can be difficult. Once upon a time, “Sell in May and go away” had meaning for traders. It used to be true that folks who pushed big money around went away for the summer, the volume dropped, and volatility increased. After all, big-money traders have families, they take vacations, and generally, need some time off. But with technology creating instant access to the global markets, traders can now do all of the above and still trade forex, ETFs, futures, stocks and everything in between without a problem. This suggests that the summer trading slump no longer exists. According to this study debunking the myths of summertime trading, that might be true.

The Reality

As a trader, the reality is that it doesn’t matter if it is true or not true that summer trading is habitually volatile or it lacks liquidity. Traders trade the markets regardless of season and track the market and trade based on a solid trading strategy. If the market turns volatile or the volume drops precipitously in July, August, or even January, that strategy should indicate the next move a trader should take.

Summer Trading Tips

Some will choose to sit these churning market outs, but others will dive in despite the ups and downs and the lack of liquidity. It all comes down to choice. But if traders choose to trade in the swirl of market instability, here are some basic tips to keep the boat from capsizing.

  • Reduce risk by reducing the bank. Simply, bet less and less often.
  • Reduce risk by setting the stops more tightly.
  • Pay more careful attention to the news. The breathless media can influence the market significantly more when it is in flux.
  • Choose trading spots more carefully. A trending market is more forgiving than a churning market.
  • Use the “down time” to think seriously about the current trading being used and then refine it even more.

What Now?

The market moves relative to events and the perception around those events. Big events include the global economic fundamentals, the patterns found in technical trading, and geopolitical happenings that can cause a market stir, and even what the breathless media says about these events.

Should traders sit out during the summer trading season because of all these reasons? Of course not! In fact, there is a FREE resource guide to make trading under the summer sun a breeze.

A better strategy for summer trading is to watch and see what the action is. If it is wobbly, wade in carefully, rely on accurate trading tools a bit more, and follow the tips above. Traders can reduce the guessing game by using powerful software like VantagePoint to predict market trends 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy. With the power of Artificial Intelligence and Intermarket Analysis, traders can use this powerful tool to make money no matter what season or market condition.

The Future’s So Bright, You’ve Got To Wear Shades

Some say summer trading activity in futures is higher. Maybe, or maybe not. But the course of action for traders is still the same; Follow the trading strategy set in place, analyze the markets carefully and always rely on accurate trading tools to make informed decisions.

Become a smarter trader and survive the summer trading season with VantagePoint Trading Software. Sign up today to receive a free demonstration of VantagePoint and see how our predictive technology can help you gain an advantage over the choppy summertime markets.

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Sell in May and Go Away?

May 10th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Sell in May and go away

If there is anything to recall relative to the current top-heavy market it would be this: what goes up must come done. And this brings us to “Sell in May and go away,” a ritualistic saying that may or may not is good advice. It truly depends on the market.

Market Trends

The market does not behave on ritual. It is cyclical, pattern-driven and historically bent. But it is not ritualistic. Does this mean traders should not follow the annual advice about “sell in May and go away?” The reality is that the market can, has, and will act differently each and every May. The wins (or losses) a trader encountered will determine whether he or she should sell or buy in May. After all, every portfolio is different. There isn’t a one-size-fits-all strategy. It’s all about doing what’s best to suit each trading style.

The Reality

However, the reality of today’s market suggests traders seriously consider selling this May, or soon thereafter, but not going away entirely. Think about divesting to build up a bank for the correction that is surely coming.  Remember Newtonian physics – what goes up must come down. Be aware, the market has been defying Newton for some time now and the apple is hanging precariously on its branch. But gravity will surely take over eventually.

By any measure, the market is overpriced. For example, the Schiller P/E ratio shows a market almost 10 points higher than the historical mean (25.35 now vs. 15.65 historical). There are more metrics, and here are 20 of them according to Bank of America.

Metrics aside, the biggest reason a trader should prepare for stepping away in May, or soon thereafter, is there is no rational for the big climb since November. The hope that the current political administration and Congress might produce tax reform and remove the regulations that keep the greed of big banks in check is not a solid platform upon which the current lofty market stature can stand. So far we have seen how well this dynamic duo has performed.

What now?

The point is this– the market will correct. It always has and it always will. Maybe not this May, but soon enough given the historical patterns of money movement in the summer. Having suggested this, it does not mean traders simply disappear.

Rather, do this instead:

  1. Keep a watchful eye and be prepared to get out when the correction arrives.
  2. Be patient. As with all corrections, they do not happen overnight.
  3. Use the right tools to track individual markets for short-term movement within the ups and downs of the correction. Find those trend resistors.

By modifying the strategy to adapt to the changing market conditions (whatever they may be and whenever they may happen), traders don’t have to “Sell in May and Go Away.” Instead, they can put themselves in a position to find profitable positions in any given season (and market condition).

The VantagePoint Difference

Smart traders find ways to make money. And all traders want to be smart, right? A tool that can help the timing and give accurate forecasts 1-3 days in advance will be crucial to every trader’s timing strategy. VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software provides that forecast with up to 86% accuracy.

Take a look at Nokia ($NOK).  Using the power of Artifical Intelligence and Intermarket Analysis, VantagePoint predicted a bullish trend starting in late April. In the 13 trading days since predicting the trend, the stock has rallied 18.73%. At a very affordable $5.25 share price, traders could have invested a small amount to yield large gains.

Nokia Stock Chart

5,000 shares x .95 =  $4,750 in profit!

Had a trader followed the “Sell in May and go away” logic they would have missed this short trend to make a very easy profit.

Despite volatile market conditions, there is always an opportunity to make money with the right tools and understanding. A blind strategy is a poor strategy. Don’t let this be you. Use VantagePoint to your advantage and find those trend-changing trades that can keep you successfully trading while others have simply gone away in May.

What goes up will always come down. Do you have the right tools to handle a market correction? 

Get ahead of trends despite any market condition with VantagePoint Trading Software. Sign up today for your FREE demo to see how you can predict market trends 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy.

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Using Artificial Intelligence Trading Software

May 2nd, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

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Are you ready for a self-driving car?
Did you ask Google, Siri or Amazon Alexa for anything today?
Was your last trade a winner?
Or did you lose?

These questions point to a reality in today’s world. Artificial intelligence (AI) is here to stay. You are up against it in the trading world if you are not using it to your advantage.

Success is all about increasing the odds of picking a good trade. It is about winning more and losing less. One way to increase the odds in a fluctuating market is to use trading software that relies on the power of Artificial Intelligence.

How Does Artificial Intelligence Work?

AI is based on the idea of intelligent agents. Intelligent agents are devices that gather data and take actions to maximize its chance of success to achieve a goal. AI does this through learning and solving related problems that might hinder achieving the goal.

Simply put, Artificial Intelligence is about collecting and crunching massive amounts of data for learning, reasoning and perception. It performs the work that humans cannot.

Trading Success with Artificial Intelligence

Traders need a tool that does the heavy lifting for them. There are many ways to trade. Trend following, mean reversion, technical, analysis, fundamental analysis, etc. However, the problem always remains the same. Which way is the market headed?

Our global markets are interconnected and complex. How do traders analyze multiple markets influencing each other to the degree needed to accurately forecast market trends?

The answer: Use AI-based trading software.

Capabilities of Artificial Intelligence with VantagePoint

VantagePoint Trading Software utilizes AI to learn about markets through intermarket analysis, defines movement patterns in those markets and then predicts where that market is headed 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy. VantagePoint and its AI component maximize your chances of trading success. The software crunches massive amounts of data to achieve a highly probable outcome.

Let’s look at Wyndham Worldwide ($WYN). With the power of Artificial Intelligence and Intermarket Analysis, Vantagepoint forecasted an uptrend in mid March. By the end of April, the stock had risen over 19%. Using VantagePoint to spot this early trend, traders were able to get in sooner and make a hefty profit with very little work.

Wyndham Stock Chart

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ultimately, the evolutionary maxim – adapt or perish – defines the reality in today’s trading world. Traders who are not using Artificial Intelligence software to their benefit when trading are not competitive.

Are you ready to learn how Artificial Intelligence can improve your trading strategy?

Sign up today to receive a FREE demonstration of VantagePoint. See how we use our Artificial Intelligence software to sift through massive quantities of financial data, uncover the hidden patterns of movement and use that information to accurately and consistently predict market trend changes in advance.Artificial Intelligence

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Market Risk – Moving the Odds to Your Favor

February 17th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Market Risk and Reward

There is an inherent market risk when trading. An obvious statement, we know. But why, then, do so many play the market as if risk does not exist? Why do so many traders lose more then they win and, eventually, lose it all?

The answer is just as obvious. Perhaps it is because many believe market risk can be overcome, when, in reality, it can only be reduced, mitigated, or otherwise tempered.

The market IS risk to varying degrees, nothing more, nothing less. It is people (and people programming computers) making bets. There is only one certainty. The market will go up or the market will go down. You can reduce the probability to an even bet. There is no overcoming market risk – it will either go up or down. Flip a coin.

Every trade has an element of risk, but you can lessen it while increasing your chances of picking which way it will go. If you understand this, you are ahead in the game.

There are those who think that there is no need to lessen your market risk. They believe they “know” which way a given market will go, or they believe someone else “knows” which way it will go and they can listen to that person. We say that blind faith is a coin toss. At best, you will win more than you lose. At worst, you will lose all you have playing with that strategy long enough. It is not even luck – it is the law of probability. It is guessing and putting you at the mercy of inherent market risk.

Try to mitigate your market risk instead. If you do, you can bend the law of probability in your favor. There are three easy steps you can take to start limiting your market risk:

3 Steps to reduce Market Risk

  1. Learn the market you want to trade. Identify past patterns that will repeat over time.  Study them and you will be better served to see repeatable patterns you can act upon.

If you study the market from May 2009 through the summer of 2016 you will see identifiable patterns attached to repeated events. For example, in 2009 there was a repeated event – the potential collapse of the euro. A market pattern developed as that event was repeated ad nauseum in the news. We have a current event that mirrors this in the Fed’s “will they or won’t they” discussion on raising interest rates. Study the movements around this event and you will begin to see a pattern.

  1. Understand the psychology of the market and The Market ‘R Us people making emotional decisions.

The psychology of the market is correlated to the above, but it is less specific and harder to pinpoint. Nevertheless, if you track global events, stay tuned into the global consumer. Understand economic fundamentals and you will soon learn to better “predict” emotional market responses from the greater population of traders. This will allow you to be in a better position to make moves for your own portfolio.

  1. Supply yourself with software that helps you reduce market risk and help you win more often and defy the law of probability.

Understanding that market analysis software is here and ready for you to use it as a solid way to mitigate market risk. The best way to capture these benefits is to find software that works, software that has a track record of helping users determine short-term market movement. VantagePoint uses artificial intelligence to predict market movement 1-3 days in advance with up to 86% accuracy. We eliminate the coin flip approach and help you focus on markets that are more likely to produce winners and reducing market risk and volatility.

If you learn nothing else regarding your trading in 2017, understand that market risk is always present. However, with the right education, market understanding, and analytical tool, you can manipulate it to be more in your favor.

Reduce your market risk with VantagePoint

Make sure you have all the best tools available to you that will reduce your market risk. Sign up today to receive a free demonstration of VantagePoint and see how our predictive technology can help you gain an advantage over the markets and make 2017 your most profitable year yet!

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Five Trading Questions Every Trader Asks (and how we’d answer them)

January 12th, 2017 by VantagePoint Software

Trading Questions

As we ring in another new year it’s important to keep in mind that nothing changes as much as it remains the same. For example, political power has changed, but the themes remain. Republicans will continue to attack the usual topics including the Dodd-Frank regulations that curtail the healthy financial industry. Democrats will continue to attempt to outmaneuver Republicans in an attempt to stop them.

The turbulence from the political battle will no doubt affect the market (another yearly constant) and cause angst for everyone involved. But, more likely than not, the five trading questions we’ve listed below is what’s really going to keep Joe Q. Trader awake at night in 2017. These trite realities will wreak more havoc on you than politics will on the market. At least it will if you don’t learn one simple thing – you can do nothing about the external realities affecting the market. But, you can do much about the internal forces keeping you awake at night. Nothing changes as much as it remains the same. So without further ado, here are five trading questions traders commonly ask and useful mottos to remember when facing your most common trading angst.

5 Common Trading Questions

Did I make the right trade?

Second guessing your trade is useless. If you researched with forecasts that highlight trend changes and set the trade up properly, you have a high-probability trade with a well-defined in and out based on a reasonable profit/loss. Let it ride. Motto: The trade is made, move on.

How could I have been wrong?

Trades go south. Figuring out what went wrong is important. Beating yourself up over it after the fact is not. Learn from those mistakes and protect yourself with the proper tools. VantagePoint provides a clear crossover on its charts indicating trend changes that can be used to improve your timing on entries and exits.  Motto: The trade was made, move on.

Check out this video to see how VantagePoint identifies trend reversals before traditional traders even know what’s going on.

Why did I lose money?

Again, trades go south, which usually means a money loss. But, this is an integral and necessary part of the game. No one wins all the time. The trick is winning more than you lose. See your losses as learning opportunities, nothing more. Utilizing tools like VantagePoint’s Intelliscan will help find trades that are in a better position to move in a given direction. It can also help you identify markets with high volatility that you can avoid until the market becomes more favorable. The goal is to improve your win/loss ratio, not worry about your past losses. Motto: “Fogetta boud it …”

What will the market do tomorrow?

Truthfully, more pundits/analysts get this wrong than right. The market is the collective conscious of millions of humans, so consistently predicting with accuracy the daily behavior is unlikely. VantagePoint’s patented neural networks analyze intermarket relationships and predict market movements with up to 86% accuracy. Utilizing technology will help you sleep at night because it doesn’t have to. Motto: Technology is your friends, let it help you.

Should I even be trading?

For many beginner traders, this question will cause the most sleepless nights. Second guessing your trades, beating yourself up after a poor decision, fretting over losing trades, and betting on what others think the market will do tomorrow will all lead you here. Master the answers to trading questions 1-4 and you are less likely to end up contemplating this question. Something to also keep in mind; trading, like any other skill, takes time to learn. Stay calm and learn from your losses. Utilize the tools available to maximize your potential. Do these things and the answer to question five will more than likely be yes. Motto: Do it right, sleep at night.

Trade confidently with the help of VantagePoint

Don’t leave yourself unprotected and answering these trading questions on your own. Sign up today to receive a free market forecast from VantagePoint and see how VantagePoint can help make 2017 your most profitable year yet!

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What May Happen in May? VantagePoint Forecasting Reduces Guessing Game

May 4th, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

Forecasting largeTV weather personalities get a bad rap. Who hasn’t blamed their local meteorologist for getting drenched in a downpour on a “sunny, sunny, sunny” day? Yes, forecasting is complex. Especially for days farther in the future as weather can be chaotic and unpredictable. But, the math behind forecasting skews toward the forecaster being correct.

The website Freaknomics.com recently studied meteorologists’ precipitation forecasts in Kansas City. They found TV weather people were correct 85% of the time one day in advance and 73% right seven days out. On the surface, that would not seem too bad. But consider that if a meteorologist in this study always predicted sunshine instead of rain. They would still be right 86.3% of the time.

The financial markets are just as chaotic and unpredictable for traders. Without the proper tools, the chances of successfully forecasting market direction into the future are slim. Left to their own devices, most traders will be right less than 50% of the time, and the consequences can be far worse than getting caught without an umbrella.

That’s because most traders still use “lagging” single market indicators. These indicators can only see what’s happened in hindsight. They study a chart on Wednesday night, look at a moving average and see that a particular market of interest is trending up or down. They soon find out the trend actually started on Tuesday morning, and they’re already a couple of days late getting into the position. That’s what happens when you look at traditional single market charts and lagging indicators. Even the weatherman have predictive tools, and traders can too.

With VantagePoint Software and its Intermarket Analysis, traders can dramatically improve their odds by using the patented, predictive indicators. These indicators forecast future price trends with up to 86% accuracy. Using patented neural network processes to predict changes in market trend direction 1-3 days in advance, VantagePoint gives traders an unprecedented opportunity to get on the right side of trends at the right time – days before other traders even know what’s happening.

VantagePoint Forecasting in Action

Want to see how it works? The below video showcases how VantagePoint can help traders identify new trends and opportunities for profit in just seconds.

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UPDATE: VantagePoint Helps Customer Find 256% Growth with Accurate Forecast

April 21st, 2016 by VantagePoint Software

VantagePoint tracks CDE to a 250% uptrendUPDATE: The day after we  posted this video and blog, $CDE dropped, become a 4 day trend to the downside. 

That is plenty of time for most traders (without VantagePoint) to consider the uptrend over and get out of this position. However, the downtrend would soon show itself to be nothing more than a speedbump on a strong uptrend that grew an additional 20% after the loss.

Traders who use VantagePoint would have been able to see this as nothing more than a short-term loss and stayed in the trade. How would they have known to do that? Check out our updated video to see how VantagePoint’s forecasts saw through this sudden change and presented our users with even more chances to grow their profits. Scroll below the video to read the original post and watch the original video.

As a trader, just because you aren’t familiar with a particular stock or market, doesn’t mean you should miss out on a tremendous opportunity to profit. We received an email from a VantagePoint user explaining that he had made “a boatload of money” on a stock he had never heard of, or traded before.

He went on to explain that the stock showed up on one of VantagePoint’s scans as a potential trading opportunity. Coupled with his reliance on VantagePoint’s up to 86% accuracy, he took advantage of this information and has made a 256% return on his initial investment!

Check out our quick video that walks through exactly what you could have seen on day 1 of this potential trade and how using VantagePoint’s predictive indicators could have given you the confidence to remain in this trade and make a huge return.

This is a perfect example of what VantagePoint does for our customers. It identifies trading opportunities you can get involved with and profit from. That is why so many of our customers have been able to recoup the cost of the software so quickly.

Don’t limit yourself to your familiar and favorite stocks. Look beyond that and let yourself find the opportunities that can help you grow your trading account.

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How VantagePoint Performed Against the Fed’s Announcement

October 28th, 2015 by VantagePoint Software

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As expected, the market showed various signs of volatility today as a result of the Fed’s announcement. Right around 1:30-2:00pm today we saw some crazy movement in both directions. So we wanted to know (more so, we wanted you to know), how did VantagePoint perform? Because if there’s one thing that trips traders up the most it’s unexpected movements due to outside forces, right?

So we put VantagePoint to the test. We look at forecasts for the Dow, the S&P 500 and Natural Gas to show you whether or not the software was able to withstand today’s volatility.

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How to Predict the Stock Market with Trend Forecasting Software

August 7th, 2015 by VantagePoint Software

Using the George S. Patton Method to Predict the Stock Market

“Lead me, follow me, or get out of my way.”

george s patton

It’s almost as if this iconic quote from General George S. Patton Jr. was speaking directly to different stock trading strategies, specifically trend trading. Trend trading is often seen as reactive and systematic by nature.  The word “follow” is inexorably intertwined to this method (trend following) as most strategies involve joining the trend after it’s started. These words might as well represent 3 totally different trading strategies. We’ll examine each and let you know how you can apply one of them in order to better predict the stock market and make profitable trades.

“Follow Me” – Reactive Stock Trading

Herein lies the problem of trend following stocks. All too often, traders are too late to the party and miss the bulk of the move. Did you miss the recent trending moves in Starbucks ($SBUX), Google ($GOOG$) or Netflix ($NFLX)?

Many traders did because they are using the “follow me” approach that involves lagging indicators. Their stock predictions are reactive – they study a chart on Tuesday night, look at a moving average and see that a particular stock they follow has been trending up or down. Because they are dealing with lagging indicators that involve past price history for that stock, they enter the trend too late and miss the “meat” of the move.

“Get out of my way” – Trading from the Sidelines

Upon further inspection of that same stock, followers find that the trend actually started a week ago and they are too paralyzed to enter the trade. They will inevitably take the “get out of my way” route. Their stock predictions were directionally correct but their entry timing was off, so they inevitably missed a profitable trading opportunity out of fear that the trend is over.

It’s easy to see that there’s no way to get ahead of the market if you are constantly playing catch up or sitting on the sidelines. Instead, let’s look at ways to predict the stock market using trend forecasting technology.

What if you could approach your stock trading from a “lead me” perspective?

“Lead me”- Trend Forecasting Stocks

Traders who have accurate information ahead of the market can enter and exit positions before major trend reversals with a high level of confidence. VantagePoint is a trend forecasting software that uses predictive indications to give traders a look into a stock’s future. Through global market analysis and neural network technology, VantagePoint software transforms market lagging indicators in market leading indicators that anticipate trend changes and forecast the short term future trend direction, market strength and daily trading ranges days in advance.

In order to adapt the “lead me” style, and get on board a trend early, you’ve got to be able to anticipate, instead of react, to trend changes.  Frequently, VantagePoint’s predictive indicators will flash an “early warning” – that a stock’s trend is about to change direction before it actually happens. This is the edge that traders truly need to preserve capital and grow wealth in today’s volatile markets.

market lagging indicator

predict the stock market

Are you ready to adapt the George S Patton method and become a “lead me” type of trader who can predict the stock market?

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