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Darrell Jobman, analyst for www.TradingEducation.com comments on the current market situation

  Wesley Chapel, Florida, March 17, 2008  -- With the collapse of Bear Stearns and the Federal Reserve heavily involved in the banking business, the question many traders are likely to ask is, “Who’s next?”

Even a fire sale price of only $2 per share for a stock that was priced at about $170 only a little over a year ago required a $30 billion guarantee from the Fed before J.P. Morgan Chase would agree to take over of Bear Stearns over the weekend. "The fallout from poor hedge fund and subprime  mortgage loans has affected almost every investment bank to some degree or another in the last year so it’s logical to assume there may be other Bear Stearns situations waiting to be revealed," said Darrell Jobman analyst for www.TradingEducation.com

One of the banks mentioned often as being the potential next domino to fall is Lehman Brothers, whose share price dropped from about $85 in early 2007 to below $40 Friday and then tumbled to as low as almost $20 Monday. As traumatic as such a move might be to shareholders, users of VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software who use a 1-2-3 approach to buy puts or otherwise short a market were well-positioned to take advantage of Lehman’s woes.

VantagePoint, the flagship software of Market Technologies, LLC analyzes interrelated markets to produce predictive moving averages and other predictive indicators that lead or confirm traditional chart analysis. The indication to go short Lehman came on Feb. 29 when three of these indicators came together, as the vertical line on the chart illustrates: (1) The short-term difference of two moving averages moved below the long-term difference of two moving averages and below the zero line, (2) the propriety predicted Neural Index was at 0.00 and (3) the predicted medium-term moving average crossed below the actual medium-term moving average.

Traders who followed those three indications from VantagePoint would have been short in the vicinity of $50 per share. How well that trade will turn out remains to be seen, but it’s obviously the side of the market many traders would like to be riding at this point.


Media Contacts: TradingEducation.com, LLC
Darla D. Tuttle
813.973.3456
Darla@TradingEducation.com
Market Technologies, LLC
Marsha Jadoonath
813.973.0496
MarshaJ@Tradertech.com



 

* VantagePoint's accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrow's typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday's typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday.  The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades.  VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used.  For more detailed information, please read our important disclaimer and software license agreement.

VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software, TraderTech, ProfitTaker, World Leader in Market Forecasting, and Market Technologies, LLC are trademarks of Market Technologies, LLC. Synergistic Market Analysis, Synergistic Analysis and Market Synergy are service marks of Market Technologies, LLC. Hurricaneomics is a registered trademark of Market Technologies, LLC

 

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