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VantagePoint Analysis: U.S. T-Note Futures Due for Corrective Pullback

 

Wesley Chapel, Florida, December 22, 2008  -- U.S. 10-year Treasury note futures on the Chicago Board of Trade are presently in a steep seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart and last week hit a fresh contract and all-time high as a "flight-to-quality" into safe-haven U.S. Treasuries continues amid the financial market woes of the industrialized world.

Price action Friday saw a profit-taking pullback amid a market that is still firmly bullish. The VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis trading tool (www.TraderTech.com) suggests more profit-taking pressure is likely in the near term. VantagePoint is a valuable trading tool that employs intermarket analysis to forecast near-term price trends.

The VantagePoint daily bar chart for March T-Notes shows that the Predicted Neural Index is presently reading 0.00, suggesting some more downside price pressure in the near term. When the predicted simple three-day moving average value of typical prices is greater than today’s actual three-day moving average value, the Predicted Neural Index is 1.00, indicating that the market is expected to move higher over the next two days. When the predicted simple three-day moving average value of typical prices is less than today’s actual three-day moving average value, the Predicted Neural Index is 0.00, indicating the market is expected to move lower over the next two days.

  
Source: VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software (www.tradertech.com)

Also note on the daily chart for March T-Notes that the Predicted Stochastic indicator has just produced a bearish line crossover signal, whereby the %D line has crossed below the %K line. The Predicted Stochastic indicator is based on the position of the close relative to the high or low of the day. During periods of price decreases, the daily closes tend to accumulate near the daily lows. During periods of price increases, the daily closes tend to accumulate near the daily highs. The Predicted Stochastic indicator is an oscillator designed to predict overbought and oversold conditions one day in advance.

Predicted Stochastic predicts a 14-day stochastic oscillator one day ahead, comparing the market’s current close to its price range over a period of time. Stochastic Trigger predicts a 3-day moving average (%D) of the stochastic oscillator (%K) one day ahead.

The Predicted Stochastic charts the two lines, Predicted Stochastic (%K) and Stochastic Trigger (%D), plotted on a scale ranging from 0 to 100. Readings above 80 predict an overbought condition; readings below 20 predict an oversold condition (thresholds indicated by dashed lines on chart).

The Predicted Stochastic (%K) line is faster and more sensitive than the Stochastic Trigger (%D) line. When the Predicted Stochastic (%K) crosses over the Stochastic Trigger (%D) line in overbought (>80) or oversold (<20) territory, this could be an indication that the market is about to reverse course.

About Market Technologies, LLC
Headquartered in Tampa Bay since its founding in 1979 by Louis B. Mendelsohn, with trading software customers in over 90 countries worldwide, Market Technologies is a fast growing, Inc. 500, company and recognized world leader in market forecasting. Market Technologies researches and develops proprietary trend forecasting and market timing technologies that utilize artificial intelligence applied to intermarket and hurricaneomic analysis, in order to forecast various commodity and financial markets throughout the world. These presently include, but are not limited to, stocks, stock indexes, ETFs, energies, interest rates, currencies, metals, grains, meats, softs and Forex, covering over 600 world markets. (www.tradertech.com)

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Media Contacts: Market Technologies, LLC
Marsha Jadoonath
813.973.0496
MarshaJ@Tradertech.com



 

* VantagePoint's accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrow's typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday's typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday.  The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades.  VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used.  For more detailed information, please read our important disclaimer and software license agreement.

VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software, TraderTech, ProfitTaker, World Leader in Market Forecasting, and Market Technologies, LLC are trademarks of Market Technologies, LLC. Synergistic Market Analysis, Synergistic Analysis and Market Synergy are service marks of Market Technologies, LLC. Hurricaneomics is a registered trademark of Market Technologies, LLC

 

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