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VantagePoint Analysis:VantagePoint Sees More Selling Pressure for Soybean Futures

 

Wesley Chapel, Florida, October 27, 2008 --January soybean futures closed lower last Friday, finishing the week nearer the session low and scoring a bearish "outside day" down on the daily bar chart. Prices are still in a 3.5-month downtrend on the daily bar chart.

The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the October low of $8.38 1/2. A close below that chart point would produce more chart damage to suggest a fresh leg down in prices in the near term.

The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at last week's high of $9.55 1/2 a bushel, which would begin to provide the bean market bulls with some fresh upside near-term technical momentum.

VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis trading indicators (www.TraderTech.com) corroborate the path of least resistance for January soybeans remains to the downside. VantagePoint is a valuable trading tool that employs "intermarket" analysis to forecast near-term price trends. Intermarket analysis is the study of how markets are inter-related and impact each other's daily price moves. Veteran traders realize the significance of intermarket analysis. In fact, the recent strong influence of the key "outside markets" for grains – crude oil and the value of the U.S. dollar – is a prime example of the importance of intermarket analysis.

  

On the VantagePoint daily bar chart for January soybean futures the Predicted Moving Average Convergence Divergence (PMACD) is in a bearish posture as the thick black PMACD line has just crossed below the thin blue "trigger" line of the indicator.

PMACD is another way of using moving averages to predict market changes. PMACD charts the difference between two predicted exponential moving averages and uses another exponential moving average of the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) as a trigger for trading signals. MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator calculated by subtracting a 20-day exponential moving average from a 10-day exponential moving average. The MACD trigger is calculated as a 9-day exponential moving average of the MACD. VantagePoint's PMACD predicts the MACD one day ahead.

The daily chart for January soybeans also shows that VantagePoint's Predicted Neural Index is presently reading 0.00, reinforcing the outlook for downside price pressure in the near term.

When the predicted simple three-day moving average value of typical prices is greater than today’s actual three-day moving average value, the Predicted Neural Index is 1.00, indicating that the market is expected to move higher over the next two days. When the predicted simple three-day moving average value of typical prices is less than today’s actual three-day moving average value, the Predicted Neural Index is 0.00, indicating the market is expected to move lower over the next two days.

The Predicted Neural Index, a proprietary VantagePoint indicator, is either correct or incorrect so its performance can be measured in terms of percent correct to produce the accuracy statistics cited for VantagePoint, which has a predictive accuracy rate of around 80% across a wide range of markets and time spans in ongoing research.

About Market Technologies, LLC
Headquartered in Tampa Bay since its founding in 1979 by Louis B. Mendelsohn, with trading software customers in over 90 countries worldwide, Market Technologies is a fast growing, Inc. 500, company and recognized world leader in market forecasting. Market Technologies researches and develops proprietary trend forecasting and market timing technologies that utilize artificial intelligence applied to intermarket and hurricaneomic analysis, in order to forecast various commodity and financial markets throughout the world. These presently include, but are not limited to, stocks, stock indexes, ETFs, energies, interest rates, currencies, metals, grains, meats, softs and Forex, covering over 600 world markets. (www.tradertech.com)

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Media Contacts: Market Technologies, LLC
Marsha Jadoonath
813.973.0496
MarshaJ@Tradertech.com



 

* VantagePoint's accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrow's typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday's typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday.  The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades.  VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used.  For more detailed information, please read our important disclaimer and software license agreement.

VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software, TraderTech, ProfitTaker, World Leader in Market Forecasting, and Market Technologies, LLC are trademarks of Market Technologies, LLC. Synergistic Market Analysis, Synergistic Analysis and Market Synergy are service marks of Market Technologies, LLC. Hurricaneomics is a registered trademark of Market Technologies, LLC

 

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