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Soybean Oil Trading

soybean oil trading information

Soybean Oil Market Defined and Explained

Each bushel of soybeans produces about 11 pounds of soybean oil and about 48 pounds of soybean meal so the soybean oil market is often closely tied with developments in the soybean market when external factors come into play. It has been estimated that about one-fourth of the worlds supply of edible oil comes from soybeans so soybeans have plenty of competition from other sources. Soybean oil is used to make many diverse products such as salad and cooking oils, shortenings and margarines. Soy oil is also an increasingly important ingredient for industrial products such as paints, plastics, lubricants and biofuels.

Soybean Oil Investing

The practice of trading soybean oil is important to the food and fuel industries as soybean oil futures and options provide the foundation to stabilize often volatile soybean oil prices. Price stability is essential for those businesses that rely on soybeans for their manufacturing processes. Global soybean oil supplies fluctuate constantly due to spring planting decisions and crop progress reports, as well as variations in rainfall and temperature over the growing season. In addition, soybean oil demand never ceases to change. As a result, prices can vary substantially from day to day, and soybean traders should take note of the market volatility and impacts from intermarket factors. Investing in soybean oil appears to have merit as the need continues to grow for readily biodegradable lubricants that are low in toxicity for environmentally sensitive areas.

The superior qualities of soy oil have been recognized in Europe and by the U.S. government, and developing new commercial uses for soybean oil is a research priority of the United Soybean Board (USB) and the American Soybean Association. Using soybeans as a fuel product has gained momentum because high fuel prices have made it economically feasible to use renewable agricultural products in green fuels such as ethanol made from corn and sugar and biodiesel fuels made from soybean oil. These fuels have the potential to lessen greatly U.S. dependence on foreign oil. Biodiesel fuel made from soybean oil is being used more and more as an alternative to pure petroleum-based diesel fuel. Biodiesel decomposes as quickly as sugar and is 10 times less toxic than salt. Soybean oil offers many uses and makes it one of the most versatile agricultural commodities for potential soybean oil traders.

Soybean Oil Prices & Rates

  • Soybean oil futures and options trade at CME Groups Chicago Board of Trade.

  • The contract size for soybean oil trading is 60,000 pounds.

  • One tick size is 1/100 cent, making the minimum price fluctuation per tick $6.00 per contract.

  • Contract months for soybean oil trading are October, December, January, March, May, July, August, and September.

  • The last trading day for soybean oil is the business day prior to the 15th calendar day of the contract month.

  • The last delivery day for soybean oil trades is the last business day of the delivery month.

See how VantagePoint Software can predict the soybean oil futures market with up to 86% accuracy* - Get Free Soybean Oil Market Predictions now.

Soybean Oil Trading Information

Corn and soybeans are planted in the spring in the United States. Soybean field preparation and planting typically lasts from mid-March through the end of June if soybeans are doublecropped after the winter wheat crop is harvested in southern areas, but the primary planting period in the Midwest where most of the soybeans are grown is during May. Like corn, soybeans are vulnerable to hot, dry weather during the summer growing season. The most critical month for determining soybean yields and the size of the U.S. soybean crop is usually August when blossoming and pod-filling occurs and the quality and amount of soybean oil per bushel of soybeans is determined. A freeze before the soybean plant fully matures in September can be devastating for soybean oil quality. Most of the soybean crop is typically harvested in September-October, and soybean oil prices tend to trend up after harvest as the rate of usage trends up.

Soybean Oil Information Resources

Soybean oil has more sources of information available than many other agricultural commodities. In addition to all of the U.S. Department of Agriculture reports on soybean acreage, production, stocks, crop progress, etc., the U.S. Census Bureau also releases a monthly report on the size of the U.S. soybean crush and statistics about the amount of soybean oil and other edible oils in storage. The National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA), organized as the National Soybean Processors Association (NSPA) in 1929 and renamed in 1989, also releases a widely followed report estimating monthly crush statistics. Another publication that has been prominent for many years in the global edible oils market is Oil World, sometimes called the Bible of the industry.

Soybean Oil Trading Strategy

Seasonal patterns run high in soybean oil futures and have consistently influenced the market over the years. Soybean oil traders should understand the underlying intermarket circumstances that tend to cause all futures markets in the soybean complex to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year. Soybean oil traders must understand the critical stages of soybean oil development and how the markets tend to react during these seasonal moves. In a typical season, soybean oil prices should weaken in line with soybean futures into the U.S. fall harvest period as the market sees more supply becoming available and the size of the soybean crush at its highest rate of the year. Seasonal trends are not the only factor in a soybean trading strategy as traders must analyze how supply and usage of soy products will affect future value and how reports and statistics have historically influenced price direction.

Soybean Oil Trading Tip

Developments in the source of soybean oil, the soybean crop, are obvious most important to track for the soybean oil trader, but one of the keys to understanding soybean oil prices is understanding what is going on in soybeans other major product, soybean meal. At times the demand for soybean meal will dictate the pace of the soybean crush and, therefore, the amount of soy oil available. At other times the demand for soy oil may be the controlling factor in the pace of soybean crush, meaning that either soybean oil or soybean meal could be an excess byproduct as a result of the soybean crushing process. Another important tip for the soybean oil trader is that, while soybean meal has a dominant position in U.S. feed rations for livestock and poultry, there are many other sources of edible oil other than soybean oil, including canola, palm, flaxseed, safflower, sunflowers, peanuts, cottonseed, etc. Some of these other crops are grown specifically for their oil content so their edible oil production may fluctuate without regard to demand for another byproduct. Consequently, soybean oil traders must monitor the whole global edible oil situation to see how the supply and usage of other competitors may affect the price of soybean oil.

Soybean Oil History

Soybeans are native to Northeastern Asia and were first introduced into the United States in 1765 (Soybean Research Advisory Institute). With the majority of cultivation located in the Midwestern and southern United States, the United States produces about 3 billion bushels a year, and soybeans are the second most valuable crop in the United States behind corn (Soybean Research Advisory Institute). For many years the United States reigned as the worlds largest producer of soybeans and the major soybean supplier to the world export market, but production in South American has brought that area to the forefront of the soybean export market, including soybean products.

Breaking News

Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 41 points at 15.44 cents yesterday. Prices closed near the session low on profit-taking pressure. The key "outside markets" were mixed for the sugar futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were steady-higher, crude oil prices were steady-lower and the U.S. dollar was lower. Sugar has been trading in a sideways range at higher levels for three weeks. Bulls need to push prices above this trading range to gain fresh power. That means pushing and closing prices above the May high of 16.03 cents. Sugar bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 16.03 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at 15.75 cents and then at yesterday's high of 15.88 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.40 cents and then at last week's low of 15.26 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed down $0.20 at $81.62 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session low yesterday and closed at a fresh two-month low close. The key "outside markets" were bullish for the cattle futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were higher, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was lower. Yet the cattle futures sold off anyway, which is a bearish clue. Cattle futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at $83.90. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of $80.70. First resistance is seen at $82.00 and then at yesterday's high of $82.20. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $81.42 and then at last week's low of $81.22.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Soy Complex, Grain Futures

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed firmer and near mid-range. The key "outside markets" were bullish for soybeans Friday, as the U.S. stock indexes were firmer, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was sharply lower. Bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $12.50 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at $11.00 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at Friday's high of $11.93 and then at last week's high of $12.00 3/4. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.75 1/4 and then at $11.64.

[...]

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Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August gold futures closed up $7.60 at $962.80 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session high yesterday, hit a fresh nine-week high and scored a bullish "outside day" up on the daily bar chart yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at $920.00. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $966.70 and then at $970.00. Support is seen at $955.00 and then at $950.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 20 points at 15.74 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range and were pressured by profit taking. Also, the key "outside markets" were mostly bearish for the sugar market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were weaker and the U.S. dollar was stronger. Sugar bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.93 cents and then at the contract high of 16.05 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.51 cents and then at 15.25 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed up $0.05 at $83.82 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high again yesterday on more tepid short covering in a bear market. Prices last Friday did produce a bullish weekly high close. The key "outside markets" were mostly bullish for the cattle market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were sharply higher and crude oil prices turned higher as the session wore on.  Cattle bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $84.40. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the May low of $81.60. First resistance is seen at last week's high of $83.90 and then at $84.00. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $83.25 and then at $83.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

July Soybeans

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit-taking pressure. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in an 11-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above psychological resistance at $12.00 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at the April high of $10.64 1/2 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at $11.77 1/2 and then at last week's high of $11.89 1/2. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.64 and then at $11.50.

$16.50 -------- the contract high
$11.45 3/4 --- 10-day moving average
$11.07 1/4 --- 20-day moving average
$10.53 1/2 --- 40-day moving average
$6.85 -------- the contract low

JULY SOYBEAN MEAL

July soybean meal on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit taking after hitting a fresh 8.5-month high early on. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. The next upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $390.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $350.00. First resistance comes in at $380.00 and then at [...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Energies

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July crude oil closed down $1.03 at $61.00 a barrel yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday and were pressured on profit taking and a lower U.S. stock market.  Bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. A four- week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. The next downside price objective for the crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid technical support at this week's low of $56.76. The next upside price objective for the bulls is producing a close above solid technical resistance at $65.00 a barrel. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $61.87 and then at this week's high of $62.26. First support is seen at $60.00 and then at $59.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

June gold futures closed up $12.80 at $939.50 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high and hit a fresh two-month high yesterday. Prices were again supported by a weaker U.S. dollar yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at this week's low of $915.20. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $941.00 and then at $945.00. Support is seen at $935.00 and then at $930.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed up 2 points at 15.63 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday. Sugar bulls have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents.  Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at last week's low of 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.91 cents and then at the May high of 16.03 cents. First support is seen at 15.50 cents and then at yesterday's low of 15.37 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »




* VantagePoint's accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrows typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday's typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday. The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades. VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used. For more detailed information, please read our Important Disclaimer, Privacy Policy, and Software License Agreement.



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