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Soybean Meal Trading

soybean meal trading information image

Soybean Meal Trading Explained

Each bushel of soybeans produces about 48 pounds of soybean meal and 11 pounds of soybean oil so the soybean meal market is often closely tied with developments in the soybean market when external factors come into play. Soybean meal is the dominant protein supplement used in livestock and poultry feeds so herd and flock numbers are major influences on soybean meal consumption and prices. Soy products are also used to manufacture foodstuffs, diet-food products, beer and noodles. Technical uses include adhesives, cleansing materials, polyesters and other textiles.

Soybean Meal Prices & Soybean Meal Rates

Soybean meal futures and options are traded at CME Groups Chicago Board of Trade. The contract calls for physical delivery of 100 short tons (about 91 metric tons) of soybean meal. Like most CBOT agricultural contracts requiring physical delivery, the majority of the soybean meal futures positions are offset prior to the delivery period.

  • The pricing unit for soybean meal futures is in dollars and cents per short ton with a tick size (minimum price fluctuation) of $0.10 (ten cents) per short ton or $10 per contract.

  • Depending on market conditions, the soybean meal futures price may change by several ticks at a time but always in multiples of the ten-cent increment.

  • The months for trading soybean meal contracts are January, February, April, June, August, October, and December.

  • The last day of trading for soybean meal futures contracts is the eleventh business day of the contract month.

Soybean Meal Investing

Investing in soybean meal makes sense to a broadening range of traders as soybeans are increasingly being seen as a renewable resource not only for animal feed but also with its industrial applications. Diesel fuel with a soybean foundation has gained a wider following as an energy source, capturing the attention of the trucking and construction industry. So the economies of these markets impact soybean meal trading as well, an example of intermarket influence.

See how VantagePoint Software can predict the soybean meal futures market with up to 86% accuracy* - Get Free Soybean Meal Market Predictions now.

Soybean Meal Fundamental Background

Corn and soybeans are planted in the spring in the United States. Soybean field preparation and planting typically lasts from mid-March through the end of June if soybeans are doublecropped after the winter wheat crop is harvested in southern areas, but the primary planting period in the Midwest where most of the soybeans are grown is during May. Like corn, soybeans are vulnerable to hot, dry weather during the summer growing season. The most critical month for determining soybean yields and the size of the U.S. soybean crop is usually August when blossoming and pod-filling occurs and the quality and amount of soybean meal per bushel of soybeans is determined. Most of the soybean crop is typically harvested in September-October, and soybean meal production usually increases in the winter quarter to its largest level of the year to coincide with the period when animal numbers are usually at their greatest.

Soybean Meal Trading Tips

Soybean meal and soybean oil production and price prospects are intertwined so a soybean meal trader should not be trading one without being aware of what is happening to the other as well as what is happening in the soybean market in general. At times the demand for soybean meal will dictate the pace of the soybean crush and, therefore, the amount of soy oil available. At other times the demand for soy oil may be the controlling factor in the pace of soybean crush, meaning that either soybean oil or soybean meal could be an excess byproduct as a result of the soybean crushing process. You cant have one without the other. Although soybeans and soybean products are closely related, there are several key differences. First, while there are many competing edible oils on the world market for soybean oil, the competition for soybean meal is less intense in the United States. Fishmeal, cottonseed meal and other sources may provide feed protein but soybean meal is the main source with poultry being a major consumer. Second, while soybeans can be stored for some time while waiting to be crushed, soybean meal cannot be stored for long periods of time, especially in hot weather. So the supply of soybean meal is more of a hand-to-mouth situation, which can lead to surplus or tight situations, depending on the crush rate. If a lot of soybean meal is available, that can pressure prices.

Soybean Meal Trading News

The U.S. Department of Agriculture is perhaps the best source of information about the supply of soybeans for soybean meal as well as animal consuming units. USDA releases monthly reports of supply/demand estimates for both the United States and the world as a whole including production and export prospects from major soybean growing areas. USDA also publishes situation reports that summarize the outlook from both a crop and feed perspective. The American Soybean Association is influential and a good source of information about everything related to soybeans including soybean meal. The National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) provides a monthly estimate of the U.S. soybean crush and publishes an official yearbook and trading guidelines for soybean meal and other soy products.

Soybean Meal Trading History

Soybeans are a relatively new crop in the United States, but they have become an extremely vital component of the U.S. farm economy, both for domestic usages and for export income. Soybeans were first grown commercially in the United States in the 1920s as a forage crop and for fertilizer, and then became a major source of vegetable oil for food and protein for livestock feeding. Today, soybeans are an international crop, and their major production area has expanded to include South America as one of the main suppliers.

Breaking News

Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 41 points at 15.44 cents yesterday. Prices closed near the session low on profit-taking pressure. The key "outside markets" were mixed for the sugar futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were steady-higher, crude oil prices were steady-lower and the U.S. dollar was lower. Sugar has been trading in a sideways range at higher levels for three weeks. Bulls need to push prices above this trading range to gain fresh power. That means pushing and closing prices above the May high of 16.03 cents. Sugar bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 16.03 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at 15.75 cents and then at yesterday's high of 15.88 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.40 cents and then at last week's low of 15.26 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed down $0.20 at $81.62 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session low yesterday and closed at a fresh two-month low close. The key "outside markets" were bullish for the cattle futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were higher, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was lower. Yet the cattle futures sold off anyway, which is a bearish clue. Cattle futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at $83.90. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of $80.70. First resistance is seen at $82.00 and then at yesterday's high of $82.20. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $81.42 and then at last week's low of $81.22.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Soy Complex, Grain Futures

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed firmer and near mid-range. The key "outside markets" were bullish for soybeans Friday, as the U.S. stock indexes were firmer, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was sharply lower. Bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $12.50 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at $11.00 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at Friday's high of $11.93 and then at last week's high of $12.00 3/4. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.75 1/4 and then at $11.64.

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August gold futures closed up $7.60 at $962.80 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session high yesterday, hit a fresh nine-week high and scored a bullish "outside day" up on the daily bar chart yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at $920.00. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $966.70 and then at $970.00. Support is seen at $955.00 and then at $950.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 20 points at 15.74 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range and were pressured by profit taking. Also, the key "outside markets" were mostly bearish for the sugar market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were weaker and the U.S. dollar was stronger. Sugar bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.93 cents and then at the contract high of 16.05 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.51 cents and then at 15.25 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed up $0.05 at $83.82 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high again yesterday on more tepid short covering in a bear market. Prices last Friday did produce a bullish weekly high close. The key "outside markets" were mostly bullish for the cattle market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were sharply higher and crude oil prices turned higher as the session wore on.  Cattle bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $84.40. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the May low of $81.60. First resistance is seen at last week's high of $83.90 and then at $84.00. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $83.25 and then at $83.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

July Soybeans

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit-taking pressure. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in an 11-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above psychological resistance at $12.00 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at the April high of $10.64 1/2 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at $11.77 1/2 and then at last week's high of $11.89 1/2. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.64 and then at $11.50.

$16.50 -------- the contract high
$11.45 3/4 --- 10-day moving average
$11.07 1/4 --- 20-day moving average
$10.53 1/2 --- 40-day moving average
$6.85 -------- the contract low

JULY SOYBEAN MEAL

July soybean meal on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit taking after hitting a fresh 8.5-month high early on. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. The next upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $390.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $350.00. First resistance comes in at $380.00 and then at [...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Energies

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July crude oil closed down $1.03 at $61.00 a barrel yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday and were pressured on profit taking and a lower U.S. stock market.  Bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. A four- week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. The next downside price objective for the crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid technical support at this week's low of $56.76. The next upside price objective for the bulls is producing a close above solid technical resistance at $65.00 a barrel. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $61.87 and then at this week's high of $62.26. First support is seen at $60.00 and then at $59.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

June gold futures closed up $12.80 at $939.50 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high and hit a fresh two-month high yesterday. Prices were again supported by a weaker U.S. dollar yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at this week's low of $915.20. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $941.00 and then at $945.00. Support is seen at $935.00 and then at $930.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed up 2 points at 15.63 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday. Sugar bulls have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents.  Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at last week's low of 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.91 cents and then at the May high of 16.03 cents. First support is seen at 15.50 cents and then at yesterday's low of 15.37 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


 


* VantagePoint's accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrows typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday's typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday. The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades. VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used. For more detailed information, please read our Important Disclaimer, Privacy Policy, and Software License Agreement.



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