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Grains Market Trading

grains trading information

Grains Trading Defined and Explained

Grain trading has been around since the beginning of civilization.The grains futures contracts of today are cousins of ancient trading and are as important now as they were then.In history, grain merchants and grain traders took huge risks, and the whole enterprise was speculative. Rains could affect the harvest, storms at sea could sink a ship, and there was always the risk of pirates. While todays grain traders do not typically have to deal with pirates, they continue to need ways to help stabilize grain prices and profit from grain trading while minimizing their risk from external factors.Thats where grain trading futures and options come into play.

 

Grains Prices & Rates

Grain Trading has the advantage of having two different levels to trade on.These levels are in response to growers typically taking larger contracts.

  • Mini-sized grain trading contracts

  • Full-sized grain trading contracts

These full and mini-sized contracts allow grain traders to choose the product size that best meets their needs.

 

Grains Market Investing

Investing in grains provides growers with a risk management tool to protect the price of their expected purchase or sale of physical grain or oilseeds. It also allows traders to participate in the agricultural markets without holding a physical market position.

See how VantagePoint Software can predict the grains futures market with up to 86% accuracy* - Get Free Grains Market Predictions now.

Grains Trading Strategy

The Chicago Board of trade acts as the primary intermediary for trading grains futures. A CBOT agricultural futures contract is simply an agreement to buy or sell grain or oilseeds at some later time at a price agreed upon today. Futures contracts are standardized with regards to the quantity, quality, time and place of delivery. The variable in a specific grain futures contract is price.

After gaining an understanding of the production cycles of grains and their related products, it is important to recognize how that knowledge combines with economic factors that affect each industry. When grain traders approach the industry, they rely on supply and demand factors, as well as an understanding of the grains product cycle and seasonality issues. Traders need to examine the relationship between economic conditions and grain prices.

Grains Trading Major Indicators and indices

Agricultural indicators are based on monthly contracts.Additionally, short-term serial options are listed for months not included in the standard futures month cycle.

Grains Trading Information

Global supply and demand for grains and oilseeds are hosted at the Chicago Board of Trade in the form of bids, or expressions to buy, and offers, or expressions to sell. Because most of the grain trades in the U.S., there is a strong correlation between the Chicago Board of Trade agricultural futures prices and the prices in the physical commodity markets.

Grains Trading History

The grain trade had been important as far back as when Egyptian merchants supplied Rome. The Mediterranean grain trade was so important that the nineteenth-century Italian historian Lodovico Bianchini indicated that grain was responsible for more espionage than the Inquisition. Today, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), established in 1848, is a leading futures and options exchange in the grain futures market.

Breaking News

Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 41 points at 15.44 cents yesterday. Prices closed near the session low on profit-taking pressure. The key "outside markets" were mixed for the sugar futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were steady-higher, crude oil prices were steady-lower and the U.S. dollar was lower. Sugar has been trading in a sideways range at higher levels for three weeks. Bulls need to push prices above this trading range to gain fresh power. That means pushing and closing prices above the May high of 16.03 cents. Sugar bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 16.03 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at 15.75 cents and then at yesterday's high of 15.88 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.40 cents and then at last week's low of 15.26 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed down $0.20 at $81.62 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session low yesterday and closed at a fresh two-month low close. The key "outside markets" were bullish for the cattle futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were higher, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was lower. Yet the cattle futures sold off anyway, which is a bearish clue. Cattle futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at $83.90. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of $80.70. First resistance is seen at $82.00 and then at yesterday's high of $82.20. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $81.42 and then at last week's low of $81.22.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Soy Complex, Grain Futures

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed firmer and near mid-range. The key "outside markets" were bullish for soybeans Friday, as the U.S. stock indexes were firmer, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was sharply lower. Bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $12.50 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at $11.00 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at Friday's high of $11.93 and then at last week's high of $12.00 3/4. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.75 1/4 and then at $11.64.

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August gold futures closed up $7.60 at $962.80 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session high yesterday, hit a fresh nine-week high and scored a bullish "outside day" up on the daily bar chart yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at $920.00. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $966.70 and then at $970.00. Support is seen at $955.00 and then at $950.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 20 points at 15.74 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range and were pressured by profit taking. Also, the key "outside markets" were mostly bearish for the sugar market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were weaker and the U.S. dollar was stronger. Sugar bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.93 cents and then at the contract high of 16.05 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.51 cents and then at 15.25 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed up $0.05 at $83.82 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high again yesterday on more tepid short covering in a bear market. Prices last Friday did produce a bullish weekly high close. The key "outside markets" were mostly bullish for the cattle market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were sharply higher and crude oil prices turned higher as the session wore on.  Cattle bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $84.40. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the May low of $81.60. First resistance is seen at last week's high of $83.90 and then at $84.00. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $83.25 and then at $83.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

July Soybeans

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit-taking pressure. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in an 11-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above psychological resistance at $12.00 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at the April high of $10.64 1/2 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at $11.77 1/2 and then at last week's high of $11.89 1/2. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.64 and then at $11.50.

$16.50 -------- the contract high
$11.45 3/4 --- 10-day moving average
$11.07 1/4 --- 20-day moving average
$10.53 1/2 --- 40-day moving average
$6.85 -------- the contract low

JULY SOYBEAN MEAL

July soybean meal on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit taking after hitting a fresh 8.5-month high early on. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. The next upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $390.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $350.00. First resistance comes in at $380.00 and then at [...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Energies

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July crude oil closed down $1.03 at $61.00 a barrel yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday and were pressured on profit taking and a lower U.S. stock market.  Bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. A four- week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. The next downside price objective for the crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid technical support at this week's low of $56.76. The next upside price objective for the bulls is producing a close above solid technical resistance at $65.00 a barrel. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $61.87 and then at this week's high of $62.26. First support is seen at $60.00 and then at $59.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

June gold futures closed up $12.80 at $939.50 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high and hit a fresh two-month high yesterday. Prices were again supported by a weaker U.S. dollar yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at this week's low of $915.20. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $941.00 and then at $945.00. Support is seen at $935.00 and then at $930.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed up 2 points at 15.63 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday. Sugar bulls have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents.  Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at last week's low of 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.91 cents and then at the May high of 16.03 cents. First support is seen at 15.50 cents and then at yesterday's low of 15.37 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »





* VantagePoint's accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrows typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday's typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday. The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades. VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used. For more detailed information, please read our Important Disclaimer, Privacy Policy, and Software License Agreement.



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