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Frozen Pork Bellies Trading

Frozen Pork Bellies Trading Information Page

Pork Bellies Trading Defined and Explained

Pork bellies refer to the cut of pork meat obtained from the underside of a hog carcass used for bacon. Frozen pork belly futures contracts (bacon in storage) are influenced by factors that affect the supply and demand for hogs, other pork products and competing meats. Trading Frozen pork belly futures contracts perform the same two primary functions common to many futures contracts guiding inventories and establishing forward pricing.


Frozen Pork Bellies Futures Investing

The pork bellies market is not for the faint of heart unless you have the benefit of either deep pockets or knowledge of the industry. Trading in frozen pork bellies contracts developed as a risk management device to meet the needs of meat packers and meat distributors who have to contend with volatile hog price swings.

Frozen Pork Bellies Prices & Rates

  • A frozen pork belly futures contract consists of 40,000 pounds of frozen pork bellies, cut and trimmed, where 1 point = $.0001 per pound ($4.00).

  • Historically, wide price swings are not unusual in trading pork belly futures; where trading has been accentuated by speculative interests in the past but do not trade in the large size volume as they once did.

See how VantagePoint Software can predict the Pork Bellies Trading market with up to 86% accuracy* - Get Free Pork Bellies Predictions now.
 

Frozen Pork Bellies Trading Strategy

There are definite seasonality aspects for pork bellies production and trading. Pork bellies are storable, and the movement into cold storage builds early in the calendar year, peaking about mid-year. Net withdrawals from storage then carry stocks to a low around October. There is no pork belly futures contract for the months between August and February because storage is not a large factor during that period. Demand for pork products in general tends to increase around the winter and Easter holiday season, and no matter what production practices are used, this seasonal demand by consumers still affects the pace of hog slaughter and both cash and futures pricing of pork including pork bellies. Although management methods have improved to keep a constant, year-round supply of hogs, demand side factors still play an important role in pricing in the hog industry. Few commodities offer the profit potential and market action of trading frozen pork belly futures. However, with great profit opportunity often comes risk, and the trading of frozen pork belly futures remains the domain of aggressive, highly speculative individual traders.
 

Frozen Pork Bellies Major Indicators and indices

Frozen pork bellies are traded at CME Group with five monthly contracts February, March, May, July and August. The last day of frozen pork bellies trading is the first Friday of the delivery month of the underlying futures contract. Reviewing the factors that can affect the final number of hogs slaughtered demonstrates that the quarterly Hogs and Pigs report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture is not a perfect predictor of hog slaughter nor pork belly storage figures. Other factors are not easily quantifiable, such as producer behavior or weather, which also influence hog slaughter.

 Frozen Pork Bellies Trading Information

Traders can obtain information regarding hog pricing and trends, depending on the stage in the pipeline they are studying. This data can be obtained from the monthly Livestock Slaughter report published by USDAs National Agriculture Statistical Service, which provides statistics on total hog slaughter by head, average live and dressed weight in commercial plants by state and in the U.S., information about federally inspected hogs, and additional slaughter data. Finally, frozen pork bellies traders can get information in reports published by USDAs Economic Research Service (ERS), including Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Situation and Outlook and Red Meat Yearbook, which provides data on imports and exports and offers monthly, quarterly, and yearly statistics separated out by selected countries on a carcass weight and live animal basis. CME Group also provides seasonal pork bellies pattern and weekly continuation charts.


Frozen Pork Bellies Trading Tips

Frozen pork bellies future trading can involve sharp daily price movements and, therefore, pose a risk to your trading capital. Those involved in pork belly futures trading should be fully aware of this prior to executing even their first trade. The frozen pork bellies trading arena may be best suited for those with a working knowledge of the hog industry or those with sufficient capital to withstand substantial price fluctuations. As a leveraged investment requiring that only a small percentage of the contracts value be posted as a performance bond, frozen pork bellies futures can lose more than the amount of money deposited for the futures position! Therefore, traders should only use funds that they can afford to lose without affecting their lifestyle.


Frozen Pork Bellies Trading History

When the public thinks of commodity trading, pork belly futures often come to mind because of attention they received in media reports. In 1961 the CME pork belly contract became the first futures contract based on frozen, stored meats. Chicago Mercantile Exchange, which was established in 1919 as the successor to the Butter and Egg Board that had been established in 1898, later added live cattle and hog futures contracts and then moved from physical pork bellies and livestock contracts into what were described as pork bellies in pinstripes stock index futures and options.

Breaking News

Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 41 points at 15.44 cents yesterday. Prices closed near the session low on profit-taking pressure. The key "outside markets" were mixed for the sugar futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were steady-higher, crude oil prices were steady-lower and the U.S. dollar was lower. Sugar has been trading in a sideways range at higher levels for three weeks. Bulls need to push prices above this trading range to gain fresh power. That means pushing and closing prices above the May high of 16.03 cents. Sugar bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 16.03 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at 15.75 cents and then at yesterday's high of 15.88 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.40 cents and then at last week's low of 15.26 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed down $0.20 at $81.62 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session low yesterday and closed at a fresh two-month low close. The key "outside markets" were bullish for the cattle futures market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were higher, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was lower. Yet the cattle futures sold off anyway, which is a bearish clue. Cattle futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at $83.90. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of $80.70. First resistance is seen at $82.00 and then at yesterday's high of $82.20. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $81.42 and then at last week's low of $81.22.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Soy Complex, Grain Futures

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed firmer and near mid-range. The key "outside markets" were bullish for soybeans Friday, as the U.S. stock indexes were firmer, crude oil prices were higher and the U.S. dollar was sharply lower. Bulls do still have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $12.50 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at $11.00 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at Friday's high of $11.93 and then at last week's high of $12.00 3/4. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.75 1/4 and then at $11.64.

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August gold futures closed up $7.60 at $962.80 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session high yesterday, hit a fresh nine-week high and scored a bullish "outside day" up on the daily bar chart yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at $920.00. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $966.70 and then at $970.00. Support is seen at $955.00 and then at $950.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed down 20 points at 15.74 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range and were pressured by profit taking. Also, the key "outside markets" were mostly bearish for the sugar market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were weaker and the U.S. dollar was stronger. Sugar bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents. Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.93 cents and then at the contract high of 16.05 cents. First support is seen at yesterday's low of 15.51 cents and then at 15.25 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Livestock

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

August live cattle closed up $0.05 at $83.82 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high again yesterday on more tepid short covering in a bear market. Prices last Friday did produce a bullish weekly high close. The key "outside markets" were mostly bullish for the cattle market yesterday, as the U.S. stock indexes were sharply higher and crude oil prices turned higher as the session wore on.  Cattle bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push prices above solid technical resistance at the May high of $84.40. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the May low of $81.60. First resistance is seen at last week's high of $83.90 and then at $84.00. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $83.25 and then at $83.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

July Soybeans

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July soybeans on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit-taking pressure. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. Prices are still in an 11-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the bean bulls is to push and close prices above psychological resistance at $12.00 a bushel. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at the April high of $10.64 1/2 a bushel. First resistance for July soybeans is seen at $11.77 1/2 and then at last week's high of $11.89 1/2. First support is seen at Friday's low of $11.64 and then at $11.50.

$16.50 -------- the contract high
$11.45 3/4 --- 10-day moving average
$11.07 1/4 --- 20-day moving average
$10.53 1/2 --- 40-day moving average
$6.85 -------- the contract low

JULY SOYBEAN MEAL

July soybean meal on Friday closed weaker and near the session low on profit taking after hitting a fresh 8.5-month high early on. Bulls still have the solid near-term technical advantage. The next upside price objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $390.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $350.00. First resistance comes in at $380.00 and then at [...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Energies

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July crude oil closed down $1.03 at $61.00 a barrel yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday and were pressured on profit taking and a lower U.S. stock market.  Bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. A four- week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. The next downside price objective for the crude oil bears is to produce a close below solid technical support at this week's low of $56.76. The next upside price objective for the bulls is producing a close above solid technical resistance at $65.00 a barrel. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $61.87 and then at this week's high of $62.26. First support is seen at $60.00 and then at $59.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Metals

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

June gold futures closed up $12.80 at $939.50 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high and hit a fresh two-month high yesterday. Prices were again supported by a weaker U.S. dollar yesterday. Gold bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum yesterday. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bears' next downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at this week's low of $915.20. Gold bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at the March high of $970.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $941.00 and then at $945.00. Support is seen at $935.00 and then at $930.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »


Softs

Jim Wyckoff, Senior Analyst, TraderPlanet.com

July sugar closed up 2 points at 15.63 cents yesterday. Prices closed near mid-range yesterday. Sugar bulls have the near-term technical advantage. There are still no early technical clues that a market top is close at hand. Prices are still in a five-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above technical resistance at 17.00 cents.  Bears' next downside price objective is to push and close prices below solid technical support at last week's low of 14.90 cents. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of 15.91 cents and then at the May high of 16.03 cents. First support is seen at 15.50 cents and then at yesterday's low of 15.37 cents.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

[...]

Read More at TraderPlanet.com »




* VantagePoint's accuracy statistics were computed on out-of-sample price data utilizing neural networks trained on both single market and intermarket data and relate to the Neural Index which indicates whether the average of tomorrows typical price and the typical price of the day after tomorrow (both unknowns at this time) are expected to be higher or lower than the average of yesterday's typical price and the typical price of the day before yesterday. The numerical value of the Neural Index, either a one (1) or a zero (0) thereby indicates whether or not the trend direction is expected to be higher or lower for each target market over the next two days. A Neural Network accuracy statistic of 80% does not mean that eight out of ten trades will be winning trades. VantagePoint is not a trading system that gives the same specific buy and sell signals to all users. It is a technical forecasting tool that is comprised of proprietary forecasting indicators that apply neural networks to market data for the purpose of finding patterns and relationships between markets and then using this information to make futuristic forecasts. Using these indicators each trader determines his or her own entries, exits and stop placements which may vary from those of other traders due to differences among traders in trading style, objectives, risk propensity, account size and number of contracts involved, thereby producing different trading results from one trader to another. Futures and options trading involves risk, is not for every trader, and only risk capital should be used. For more detailed information, please read our Important Disclaimer, Privacy Policy, and Software License Agreement.



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